Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2021.09.11-12

Lists have really solidified now, but sideboards are more diverse than ever. What is the key to tackling this Blue, Blue Meta?

Saturday Challenge

Sunday Challenge


TheJigIsAlwaysup (7th Place)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
2 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Pact of Negation
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
1 Pact of Negation
1 Cavern of Souls
3 Force of Negation
2 Null Rod
4 Pithing Needle
2 Steel Sabotage
2 Thoughtseize

revenantkioku (9th Place)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
2 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
1 Island
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
4 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

IdraftTheBeatz (22nd Place)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
3 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
1 Island
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Null Rod
3 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

_INF_ (28th Place)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
3 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Snow-Covered Island
4 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

League

Core and Differences

Core

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (21)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
2 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Lands (14)
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence

Sideboard (2)
2 Steel Sabotage

IdraftTheBeatz (22nd Place) Differences

Main (2)
1 Daze
1 Mystical Dispute
Sideboard (13)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Null Rod
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

TheJigIsAlwaysup (7th Place) Differences

Main (2)
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Pact of Negation
Sideboard (13)
1 Cavern of Souls
3 Force of Negation
2 Null Rod
1 Pact of Negation
4 Pithing Needle
2 Thoughtseize

revenantkioku (9th Place) Differences

Main (2)
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Dispute
Sideboard (13)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

_INF_ (28th Place) Differences

Main (2)
1 Daze
1 Force of Negation
Sideboard (13)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

Counters (8)
2 Daze
2 Force of Negation
3 Mystical Dispute
1 Pact of Negation
Graveyard (12)
12 Leyline of the Void

Artifacts (12)
4 Hurkyl's Recall
3 Null Rod
5 Steel Sabotage

Discard (5)
3 Duress
2 Thoughtseize

Lands (6)
1 Cavern of Souls
3 Island
2 Library of Alexandria

Counters (4)
3 Force of Negation
1 Pact of Negation

Removal (9)
6 Fatal Push
3 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Other (4)
4 Pithing Needle

Thoughts


Only two cards differ per deck this week and not by that much. Everyone has seemingly agreed on Watery Grave and Treasure Cruise at the moment, which makes sense given all the BUG. We need reliable lands and card draw. The new thing we see this week is TheJigIsAlwaysup running main Pact of Negation. I played against them in the challenge and was a bit surprised by the cards they had available game two. So let's look at the sideboards.


The first thing to notice is that creatures are all gone from sideboards this week. I missed Opposition Agent in the mirror, but let's be honest, most of the time I needed to be going for the win, not gotchas. IdraftTheBeatz is still on the same list from last week, and it seems to be doing well for them. I tried some slight changes with going back to Duress and Leyline of the Void, and _INF_ wasn't much different. Library of Alexandria instead of one copy of Hurkyl's Recall.
This week we have TheJigIsAlwaysup trying a different approach at siding. I spoke with them and the approach came from trying to be more like Legacy. Free cards and protection. Since Dredge is low and HollowVine and Hogaak decks are the Bazaar decks that are coming up, the full playset of Pithing Needle is there to fight those decks. Null Rod comes in for the Tinker/Paradoxical Outcome decks trying to make lots of artifact mana, and Cavern of Souls for protection. The rest is an emphasis on free or cheap interaction. Thoughtseize takes everything including the dreaded Endurance out of BUG. Force of Negation helps fight combo decks and, I assume, quick starts from Shops. Then there is Pact of Negation.
Pact of Negation has gained popularity in Legacy as a way to stop Endurance. A full playset can be found in the 75s of players looking to make a quick one-turn win against Delver decks by having the ability to hold up multiple pieces of interaction without needing those extra Blue cards for Force of Will. This was the strategy TheJigIsAlwaysup took into Vintage this past weekend and the Top 8 showing is an indication that this may be the way.
Will more players jump on Pact of Negation as we try to squeeze more out of our lists or will we find another way to attack the meta?


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