Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2021.09.04-05

First, big congratulations to IdraftTheBeatz for winning the Qualifier, as well as showing up four times in this week's set of lists, each time with the exact same deck list. Something, something, practice over data, etc. But! We analyze these lists for the fun of it and to learn. And who doesn't like to learn?

Saturday Challenge

Sunday Challenge


discoverN (11th Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Portent
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Snow-Covered Island
Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
Fatal Push
Island
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Pyroblast
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Volcanic Island

IdraftTheBeatz (20th Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea
Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
Island
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku (21st Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea
Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
Island
Fatal Push
Grafdigger's Cage
Hurkyl's Recall
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sawatarix (26th Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
Island
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push
Leyline of the Void
Library of Alexandria
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
Thoughtseize

Qualifier

League

Core and Differences

Core

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (12)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (21)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Lands (13)
Fetch Lands
Island
Underground Sea

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence

Sideboard (5)
Fatal Push
Island
Steel Sabotage

IdraftTheBeatz (26th Place) Differences

Main (4)
Daze
Mystical Dispute
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN (11th Place) Differences

Main (4)
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Portent
Fetch Land
Sideboard (10)
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Pyroblast
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Volcanic Island

revenantkioku (21st Place) Differences

Main (4)
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
Fatal Push
Grafdigger's Cage
Hurkyl's Recall
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sawatarix (26th Place) Differences

Main (4)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Treasure Cruise
Fetch Land
Sideboard (10)
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push
Leyline of the Void
Library of Alexandria
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
Thoughtseize

Total Differences

Draw (4)
Portent
Treasure Cruise

Counters (8)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute

L⁣ands (4)
Watery Grave
Fetch Lands
Sideboard

Graveyard (13)
Grafdigger's Cage
12 Leyline of the Void

Artifacts (7)
Hurkyl's Recall
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
Duress
Thoughtseize

Creatures (2)
Opposition Agent

Lands (3)
Library of Alexandria
Volcanic Island

Counters (2)
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (10)
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push
Pyroblast
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Other (1)
Pithing Needle

Thoughts

Our core is 56 Main and 5 Side this week. The Watery Grave/Fetch Land split is hardly interesting to discuss anymore. IdraftTheBeatz chose an extra Daze instead of Force of Negation. sawatarix went with a Flusterstorm instead of Mystical Dispute. Now, there are a lot of Blue decks at the moment. Along with the downward pressure on being efficient, either seems like a good choice. This mirrors the extra Daze and Flusterstorm instead of Force of Negation or Mystical Dispute we saw a few weeks back. discoverN is still on Portent, but Treasure Cruise draws three. With lots of Dreadhorde Arcanist around, drawing three is important. We're playing a resource management game more than ever.

Now Sideboards, where discoverN is trying a Volcanic Island and pair of Pyroblasts. This must be in response to the stark increase in Blue. I'm surprised he's still on Leyline of the Void, but everyone is except for me, this week. It may be the right choice. We owe it to ourselves to see how far we can stretch our sideboard, right now.

That said, Pyroblast is powerful. I'm not sure if I'd side it in in the mirror, but it's an interesting option. Legacy Doomsday is currently doing the Red "splash" for Pyroblasts due to the Delver Menace™. Vintage, of course, has other concerns. Like Bazaar decks, which have all but disappeared. I've liked Grafdigger's Cage for its flexibility versus the variety of Tinker and Arcanist decks as well. But I may be fighting on the wrong axis.

I was the only one playing Opposition Agent, and everyone else might be right. See, here's the rub. Opposition Agent is great in the mirror (which is down in numbers). Opposition Agent is a "gotcha" but "gotcha" does not win matches. Especially since we are a combo deck that does not win by getting the opponent to zero life. I like the card. Too much, maybe.

Fatal Push numbers keep climbing, and with good reason. Hurkyl's Recall hasn't completely caught on yet. But its ability to deal with the non-Shops Urza's Saga decks is valuable. (Note to self: Contact IdraftTheBeatz and ask how Null Rod has been. I'm still not sold on it.)

Will Doomsday winning the Qualifier pump up the numbers next week? Will Bazaar find a ay to fight back and come back? Is the Red Splash here to stay? Time will tell.


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