Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.08.20

Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.08.20

Is it draw? Is it removal? It's Dress Down!

Saturday Challenge

Fnoop - 2nd Place

Diem4x - 9th Place

discoverN - 30th Place

Thiim - 31st Place

Sunday Challenge

SingPanMan - 8th Place

Vertyx3 - 23rd Place

Preliminaries

revenantkioku - 3-1

League

Fnoop - 5-0

Core and Differences

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (15)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (2)
Leyline of the Void
Snuff Out

Fnoop - 2nd Place Differences

Main (9)
Dress Down
Duress
Fetch Land
Force of Negation
Necropotence
Portent
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Chain of Vapor
Dress Down
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Subtlety
Surgical Extraction

Diem4x - 9th Place Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Necropotence
Sleight of Hand
Sideboard (13)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 30th Place Differences

Main (9)
Duress
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Necropotence
Portent
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Thiim - 31st Place Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Chain of Vapor
Dismember
Echoing Truth
Hurkyl's Recall
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Orcish Bowmasters
Ravenous Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

SingPanMan - 8th Place Differences

Main (9)
Dress Down
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Lórien Revealed
Mindbreak Trap
Sensei's Divining Top
Sideboard (13)
Annul
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Island
Leyline of the Void
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Vertyx3 - 23rd Place Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Duress
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Necropotence
Portent
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku - 3-1 Differences

Main (9)
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Necropotence
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Soul Rend
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Fnoop - 5-0 Differences

Main (9)
Dress Down
Duress
Fetch Land
Force of Negation
Necropotence
Portent
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Chain of Vapor
Dress Down
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Subtlety
Surgical Extraction

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (10)
Fetch Lands
Watery Grave

Counters (31)
Daze
15 Flusterstorm
10 Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Draw (22)
Lórien Revealed
Mishra's Bauble
Necropotence
Portent
Sensei's Divining Top
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise

Discard (5)
Duress

Removal (4)
Dress Down
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (25)
21 Leyline of the Void
Ravenous Trap
Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (13)
Hurkyl's Recall
10 Steel Sabotage

Creatures (11)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Orcish Bowmasters
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (1)
Island

Counters (17)
Annul
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute

Removal (37)
Chain of Vapor
Cut Down
Dismember
Dress Down
Echoing Truth
Fatal Push
Ray of Enfeeblement
Snuff Out
Soul Rend
Subtlety
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Main Core: 51 cards Side Core: 2 cards

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.875 Counter 2.125
Discard 0.625
Draw 17.75
Lands/Mana 21.25 Lands/Mana 0.125
Removal 0.5 Removal 5.625
Tutor 4.0
AntiArtifact 1.625
AntiGraveyard 4.125
Creature 1.375
Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact -0.52
Anti-Graveyard +0.70
Counters -0.41 Counter -0.74
Creature +0.67
Discard -0.09 Discard -0.14
Draw +0.04
Lands/Mana +0.11 Lands/Mana -0.17
Removal +0.36 Removal +0.20

Thoughts

We saw one copy of Dress Down in CrazyDiamond513's list last week. Fnoop went with it as well, and SingPanMan decided to double it. In watching some replays, I saw it do quite some work against Saga Decks, and at worst was cycled. It's something I'm curious to try out. Fnoop going up one Land is interesting, especially with the focus on Draw instead of Counters.
SingPanMan also played one copy of Lórien Revealed, which allows for finding lands and late game card draw. Its ability to be pitched to Force of Will should not be ignored. Necropotence seemed to get the boot for Sensei's Divining Top and a focus on Counters. Top 8 is nothing to sneeze at.
Thiim went all in on Counters, playing a full set of both Flusterstorm and Force of Negation. This seems to tie in with the sideboard being a hodgepodge of everything a Vintage Doomsday player could want. Trim whatever Counter is the weakest and add in the good cards.
Overall, with the trend towards Mono-White Initiative and Blue-based The One Ring decks staying strong, Doomsday needs to stay on the path of safely resolving its namesake as soon as possible. This is going to continue to become more and more difficult.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.