Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.08.13
- Eric
- 0
- on Aug 15, 2023
No Tinker Doomsday – just as Garfield intended. Unless it is lying in wait to snap back at us when we least expect it.
Saturday Challenge
Sunday Challenge
Core and Differences
Core
| Core-Combo (6) 4 Doomsday 2 Thassa's Oracle Counter (8) 3 Flusterstorm 4 Force of Will 1 Mental Misstep Draw (16) 1 Ancestral Recall 1 Brainstorm 1 Dig Through Time 1 Gitaxian Probe 1 Gush 1 Necropotence 1 Ponder 4 Preordain 4 Street Wraith 1 Time Walk Lands/Mana (20) 1 Black Lotus 4 Dark Ritual 8 Fetch Lands 1 Island 1 Mox Jet 1 Mox Sapphire 4 Underground Sea Tutor (4) 1 Demonic Consultation 1 Demonic Tutor 1 Mystical Tutor 1 Vampiric Tutor | Sideboard (2) 1 Force of Negation 1 Steel Sabotage |
ecobaronen - 6th Place Differences
| Main (6) 2 Daze 1 Flusterstorm 1 Sleight of Hand 1 Treasure Cruise 1 Watery Grave | Sideboard (13) 2 Cut Down 1 Daze 1 Duress 1 Island 1 Mindbreak Trap 1 Mystical Dispute 3 Snuff Out 3 Steel Sabotage |
discoverN - 11th Place Differences
| Main (6) 1 Duress 1 Fetch Land 1 Force of Negation 2 Mishra's Bauble 1 Portent | Sideboard (13) 2 Cut Down 4 Leyline of the Void 2 Mindbreak Trap 1 Mystical Dispute 2 Ray of Enfeeblement 1 Snuff Out 1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
CrazyDiamond513 - 25th Place Differences
| Main (6) 1 Dress Down 1 Duress 1 Island 1 Force of Negation 1 Mystical Dispute 1 Thought Scour | Sideboard (13) 1 Ethereal Forager 1 Mindbreak Trap 2 Orcish Bowmasters 3 Ravenous Trap 1 Soul Rend 1 Steel Sabotage 1 Surgical Extraction 2 Suspend 1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
gr33nashe - 27th Place Differences
LuisMJ - 29th Place Differences
| Main (6) 2 Daze 1 Flusterstorm 1 Force of Negation 1 Sleight of Hand 1 Watery Grave | Sideboard (13) 2 Cut Down 1 Island 4 Leyline of the Void 1 Snuff Out 3 Steel Sabotage 2 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
discoverN - 10th Place Differences
| Main (6) 1 Duress 1 Fetch Land 1 Force of Negation 2 Mishra's Bauble 1 Portent | Sideboard (13) 2 Cut Down 4 Leyline of the Void 2 Mindbreak Trap 1 Mystical Dispute 2 Ray of Enfeeblement 1 Snuff Out 1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
Tsubasa_Cat - 29th Place Differences
| Main (6) 1 Daze 1 Duress 1 Fetch Land 1 Force of Negation 1 Mishra's Bauble 1 Portent | Sideboard (13) 2 Cut Down 4 Leyline of the Void 2 Mindbreak Trap 1 Mystical Dispute 1 Ray of Enfeeblement 1 Snuff Out 2 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
Total Differences
| Main (0) Lands/Mana (7) 4 Fetch Lands 1 Lotus Petal 2 Watery Grave Counters (16) 5 Daze 3 Flusterstorm 6 Force of Negation 1 Mindbreak Trap 1 Mystical Dispute Draw (12) 5 Mishra's Bauble 3 Portent 2 Sleight of Hand 1 Thought Scour 1 Treasure Cruise Discard (5) 5 Duress Removal (1) 1 Dress Down | Sideboard (0) Anti-Graveyard (24) 20 Leyline of the Void 3 Ravenous Trap 1 Surgical Extraction Anti-Artifacts (8) 8 Steel Sabotage Discard (1) 1 Duress Creatures (5) 1 Ethereal Forager 1 Opposition Agent 2 Orcish Bowmasters 1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse Lands (2) 2 Island Counters (13) 1 Daze 8 Mindbreak Trap 4 Mystical Dispute Removal (38) 10 Cut Down 1 Dismember 2 Fatal Push 5 Ray of Enfeeblement 8 Snuff Out 1 Soul Rend 2 Suspend 9 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
Main Core: 54 cards Side Core: 2 cards
| Main | Averages | Side | Averages |
|---|---|---|---|
| CoreCombo | 6.0 | ||
| Counter | 10.29 | Counter | 2.86 |
| Discard | 0.71 | Discard | 0.14 |
| Draw | 17.71 | Creature | 0.71 |
| Lands/Mana | 21.14 | Lands/Mana | 0.29 |
| Removal | 0.14 | Removal | 5.43 |
| Tutor | 4.0 | ||
| AntiArtifact | 2.14 | ||
| AntiGraveyard | 3.43 |
| Main | Difference | Side | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Counters | +0.38 | Counter | -0.05 |
| Creature | -0.73 | Creature | -0.56 |
| Discard | -0.02 | Discard | +0.14 |
| Draw | +0.98 | ||
| Lands/Mana | -0.22 | Lands/Mana | +0.11 |
| Removal | -0.04 | Removal | +0.79 |
| Tutor | -0.18 | ||
| Other | -0.18 | ||
| Anti-Artifact | +0.14 | ||
| Anti-Graveyard | -0.57 |
Thoughts
Doomsday did not do great this weekend. Saturday and Sunday were 55.6% and 33.4% winrates, and as you can see, nothing in the prelimins or leagues. And the prelims did fire. So what's wrong?
Mono-White Initiative is going strong, and they are bringing in Null Rods. It's not the perfect card against Doomsday, but it can sting. Drop a Thalia, Archon, or Init creature and follow it up with Null Rod? It's going to be hard for Doomsday to recover.
So what else happened? I found myself having some trouble with Esper Lurrus. Lavinia and DRS are a hell of a clock when backed up with counters, cheap removal, and Lurrus to recast Lavinia et. al. It was rough.
With Initiative, and the Tinker variant, on the rise, our sideboard is even more precious.
Respect Bazaar? ecobaronen says no. Race it. Combo decks are all about speed, right? Not dedicating those five sideboard spots and turning off Force of Vigor is not bad either. The article is about a year old, but you can read ecobaronen's thoughts here.
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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.