Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2022.09.17-18

Is Doomsday dead? Two lists this week, and one is me from a paper event. (I did top 8, yay me.) I looked around to see if I could find any published list from last week, but no such luck.

League

Hareruya's Emperor of Vintage 6th Season

Core and Differences

Core

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Time Walk

Instants (22)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
1 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
4 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Lands (13)
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
4 Underground Sea

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence

Sideboard (9)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
1 Opposition Agent
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Vertyx_ (5-0) Differences

Main (2)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
Sideboard (6)
2 Fatal Push
4 Leyline of the Void

revenantkioku (5th, EoV) Differences

Main (2)
1 Portent
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (6)
4 Cut Down
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

Draw (1)
1 Portent

Discard (1)
1 Duress

L⁣ands (2)
1 Fetch Land
1 Watery Grave
Graveyard (4)
4 Leyline of the Void

Artifacts (2)
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Steel Sabotage

Removal (6)
4 Cut Down
2 Fatal Push

Thoughts

Main Core: 58 cards Side Core: 9 cards


Vertyx_ is on trusty ol' Duress and I chose to split the copies of Portent and Sleight of Hand. This was mostly because I own one German copy of each. Not a whole lot of thought went into that.


The big sideboard differences are not everyone seems to have gotten my memo on Cut Down. I even decided to say "Fuck Dredge." this weekend and went without Leyline of the Void. The only time I might have wanted them was versus Oops, All Spells. But I followed the same logic I was going to if I ended up playing against Dredge: Combo faster.
Looking at the data, it's not that people are losing with Doomsday. It's not being played. Only one person played it in the challenges this weekend, and they had some bum luck in the early rounds, it seems. That happens. But why is no one playing?
Breach numbers are on the rise and the majority of Tinker decks seem to be Grixis. This means Brain Freeze is more prevalent, and it's dangerous for Doomsday. Then again, with as few copies as those decks play (often one), just be sure to counter their tutors, and you should be fine. No guarantees. Sorry. I can only promise so much.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.