Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2020.11.22-23

Before I start this week I want to say I've decided to cut out the League lists from this data from now on. Since Wizards only picks one out of any number, I don't think it helps too much. The Challenge data should be enough.

But that does not mean I am not looking at the lists, and Thiim gave us a doozy this week with a BUG version of Doomsday in Vintage

Four slots are dedicated to Abrupt Decay, and one Underground Sea and the standard Island are dropped for a Bayou and Tropical Island. The real spice comes in the sideboard where there are four copies each of Elvish Spirit Guide and Force of Vigor. Abrupt Decay is a great answer for many of the problem cards in the format, and teaming up with Force of Vigor lets the deck handle some of the increase in Shops decks there have been as of late.

2020.11.22 Challenge Deck Lists

2020.11.23 Challenge Deck Lists

Analysis

Core

Creatures (4)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (12)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (20)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Lands (12)
Fetch Lands
Island
Underground Sea

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence

Sideboard (6)
Steel Sabotage
Leyline of the Void

Differences From Last Week

The only big difference from last week is a more consistent reliance upon Leyline of the Void for Dredge. It was overall a solid showing for the deck, with a first, second, and third place amongst the two challenges, along with two more top-32 placings. Let's take at the differences between those lists.

MaxMagicer (3rd Place) Differences

Main (8)
Chain of Vapor
Fetch Land
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Duress
Mystical Dispute
Flusterstorm
Sideboard (9)
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Fatal Push
Gurmag Angler
Mystical Dispute
Duress
Chain of Vapor
Steel Sabotage
Leyline of the Void

pokerswizard (22nd Place) Differences

Main (8)
Treasure Cruise
Fetch Lands
Force of Negation
Street Wraith
Flusterstorm
Chain of Vapor
Sideboard (9)
Steel Sabotage
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Mystical Dispute
Duress
Leyline of the Void
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Island

Cherryxman (1st Place) Differences

Main (8)
Fetch Lands
Force of Negation
Duress
Chain of Vapor
Treasure Cruise
Street Wraith
Sideboard (9)
Flusterstorm
Duress
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Steel Sabotage
Island
Surgical Extraction
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Feed the Swarm

SingPanMan (2nd Place) Differences

Main (8)
Snow-Covered Island
Cling to Dust
Force of Negation
Peek
Mystical Dispute
Watery Grave
Street Wraith
Flusterstorm
Sideboard (9)
Karakas
Duress
Chain of Vapor
Eliminate
Opposition Agent
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Leyline of the Void

revenantkioku (28th Place) Differences

Main (8)
Street Wraith
Force of Negation
Peek
Mystical Dispute
Flusterstorm
Watery Grave
Cling to Dust
Fetch Land
Sideboard (9)
Hurkyl's Recall
Mindbreak Trap
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Eliminate
Cavern of Souls
Steel Sabotage
Leyline of the Void

Main Differences

Draw (13)
Cling to Dust
Peek
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise

Interaction (17)
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Lands (10)
Fetch Lands
Snow-Covered Island
Watery Grave

Watery Grave is becoming more and more standard. SingPanMan was the only one to run Opposition Agent, although that could likely be tied to a supply issue as there weren't many Agents or Hullbreachers in either event.

Sideboard

Sideboard Differences

Bazaar (12)
Leyline of the Void
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Shops (6)
Hurkyl's Recall
Steel Sabotage

Discard (5)
Duress

Creatures (7)
Gurmag Angler
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Opposition Agent
Lands (4)
Cavern of Souls
Karakas
Island

Counters (4)
Flusterstorm
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute

Removal (7)
Chain of Vapor
Eliminate
Fatal Push
Feed the Swarm

Everyone ran 4 Leyline of the Void except for Cherryxman, who chose to run a Surgical Extraction instead. Tabernacles are usually a two-of, except for MaxMagicer not running any. My guess is Gurmag Angler and maybe Chain of Vapor come in instead. I choose to run one only because of a stubbornness to keep my paper and MO lists the same. I was also the only one who chose to run Hurkyl's Recall, although it wasn't enough as I lost to Shops in the first two rounds. Everything else is fairly normal for up to this point. Personal preference.

I've been hearing Hullbreacher has been showing up a lot in leagues lately, so it will be interesting to see if that will have an effect on how well Doomsday places this coming week. Opposition Agent might find its time to shine, too. However it seems right now people are focused on finding the best home for the new merfolk in town.