Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.07.09

How about one Surgical Extraction in the side, for fun?

Saturday Challenge

discoverN - 1st Place

Sunday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat - 5th Place

SingPanMan - 18th Place

Wyjx - 26th Place

revenantkioku - 27th Place

League

Tsubasa_Cat - 5-0

notmi - 5-0

Core and Differences

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (6)
1 Force of Negation
3 Leyline of the Void
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 1st Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (9)
1 Annul
2 Cut Down
1 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tsubasa_Cat - 5th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (9)
2 Cut Down
1 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

SingPanMan - 18th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Daze
1 Duress
2 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (9)
2 Annul
1 Cut Down
2 Hullbreacher
1 Island
1 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Snuff Out

Wyjx - 26th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Force of Negation
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Sleight of Hand
Sideboard (9)
1 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Fatal Push
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Steel Sabotage
1 Surgical Extraction

revenantkioku - 27th Place Differences

Main (7)
2 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Lotus Petal
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Spell Pierce
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (9)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Leyline of the Void
2 Null Rod
1 Opposition Agent
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage

Tsubasa_Cat - 5-0 Differences

Main (7)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (9)
2 Cut Down
1 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
2 Steel Sabotage

notmi - 5-0 Differences

Main (7)
2 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Lotus Petal
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Spell Pierce
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (9)
2 Dismember
1 Dress Down
1 Leyline of the Void
1 Opposition Agent
2 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (9)
4 Fetch Lands
2 Lotus Petal
3 Watery Grave

Counters (26)
6 Daze
7 Flusterstorm
5 Force of Negation
5 Mindbreak Trap
1 Mystical Dispute
2 Spell Pierce

Draw (8)
4 Mishra's Bauble
3 Portent
1 Sleight of Hand

Discard (5)
5 Duress

Creatures (1)
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Anti-Graveyard (7)
6 Leyline of the Void
1 Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (10)
2 Null Rod
8 Steel Sabotage

Creatures (7)
2 Hullbreacher
2 Opposition Agent
3 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (2)
1 Island
1 Library of Alexandria

Counters (10)
3 Annul
7 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (27)
10 Cut Down
2 Dismember
3 Dress Down
1 Fatal Push
1 Murktide Regent
4 Ray of Enfeeblement
3 Snuff Out
3 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Breakdown

Main Core: 53 cards Side Core: 6 cards

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0 AntiArtifact 2.43
Counter 10.71 AntiGraveyard 4.0
Creature 0.14 Counter 2.43
Discard 0.71 Creature 1.14
Draw 17.14 Lands/Mana 0.14
Lands/Mana 21.29 Removal 4.71
Tutor 4.0
Main Difference Side Difference
Counters +0.31 Anti-Artifact +0.23
Creature +0.14 Counter +0.23
Discard -0.09 Creature +0.14
Draw -0.46 Discard -0.20
Lands/Mana +0.29 Lands/Mana +0.14
Removal -0.20 Removal -0.09

Thoughts

We're seeing a resurgence of Daze, but not in the top decks. While it can sometimes enable a turn one win, so many decks are going to have that extra mana – especially with decks like Jewel Shoppes and Mono White Initiative being so in on artifact mana.
Duress is almost ubiquitous, and I had a situation where I wished I was playing it. It snags so much. I'd recommend that one copy in the 75.
Annul is dipping a bit. Maybe it's not the answer we need. The bounce on Steel Sabotage is strong. But Oath of Druids can be a rough matchup as well. it's all about counters and comboing off first.
As the numbers of copies of The One Ring keep going up, I'd say we don't want to skimp on either Sabotage or Annul.
I'm torn on Null Rod. Sometimes it just wins games, but others I just die to Urza's Saga while not having combo cards in my hand. It's probably better for more controlling decks. Doomsday wants to go off fast, and not mess around with its own plan.

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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.