Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2021.11.26-28

Eternal Weekend is over, but now we've got some data to analyze!
Also, to naval-gaze for a second, the passing of Eternal Weekend 2021 means I have been doing data on these Doomsday decklists for over a year! How time flies. Let me know if there's anything you'd like to see. Also, if you play Doomsday in a Vintage event on MO, send me your list if you're not published! It'd be great if Wizards would give us all lists but until they do, we just have to make do with what we have.
Big congrats to discoverN for making top 8 of two out of the three events, along with a challenge.

Saturday Challenge


Enrichetta (6th Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (12)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (24)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Consider
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Snow-Covered Island
Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
Snow-Covered Island
Fatal Push
Gaea's Blessing
Opposition Agent
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku (22nd Place)

Creatures (11)
Hope of Ghirapur
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle
Thing in the Ice

Sorceries (12)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (18)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Lands (16)
Sensei's Divining Top
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea
Urza's Saga

Sideboard (15)
Island
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Grafdigger's Cage
Mindbreak Trap
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction

Sunday Challenge


SingPanMan (5th Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Portent
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Snow-Covered Island
Underground Sea
Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
Hydroblast
Island
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Planar Void
Sedgemoor Witch
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN (7th Place)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Portent
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Snow-Covered Island
Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
Duress
Energy Flux
Fatal Push
Island
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage

Eternal Weekend - Mox Emerald

Eternal Weekend - Timetwister

League

Core and Differences

Core

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (12)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (18)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Lands (13)
Fetch Lands
Island
Underground Sea

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Sideboard (4)
Island
Steel Sabotage

Enrichetta (6th Place) Differences

Main (8)
Consider
Daze
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Necropotence
Sideboard (11)
Fatal Push
Gaea's Blessing
Opposition Agent
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku (22nd Place) Differences

Main (8)
Fetch Land
Hope of Ghirapur
Sensei's Divining Top
Thing in the Ice
Urza's Saga
Sideboard (11)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Grafdigger's Cage
Mindbreak Trap
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction

SingPanMan (5th Place) Differences

Main (8)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Necropotence
Portent
Watery Grave
Sideboard (11)
Hydroblast
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Planar Void
Sedgemoor Witch
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN (7th Place) Differences

Main (8)
Daze
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Necropotence
Portent
Sideboard (11)
Duress
Energy Flux
Fatal Push
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent

discoverN (8th Place) Differences

Main (8)
Daze
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Necropotence
Portent
Sideboard (11)
Duress
Energy Flux
Fatal Push
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent

discoverN (5th Place) Differences

Main (8)
Daze
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Necropotence
Portent
Sideboard (11)
Energy Flux
Fatal Push
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent

Enrichetta (5-0) Differences

Main (8)
Consider
Daze
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Necropotence
Sideboard (11)
Fatal Push
Gaea's Blessing
Opposition Agent
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

Creatures (5)
Hope of Ghirapur
Thing in the Ice

Draw (13)
Consider
Necropotence
Portent
Sensei's Divining Top

Counters (30)
12 Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute

L⁣ands (8)
Fetch Lands
Urza's Saga
Watery Grave
Sideboard (0)

Graveyard (22)
Energy Flux
Grafdigger's Cage
15 Leyline of the Void
Planar Void
Surgical Extraction

Artifacts (4)
Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
Duress

Creatures (10)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Sedgemoor Witch

Counters (11)
Force of Negation
Hydroblast
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (17)
12 Fatal Push
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Other (11)
Gaea's Blessing
Pithing Needle

Thoughts

I made my work harder this week by playing a deck running four main Thing in the Ice as well as an Urza's Saga package. I think that package is something to consider, but maybe not now. Maybe not ever. It was worth testing as the ability to make some creatures and tutor up some of Vintage's best cards is just too good.
Main Thing? Wouldn't do it again. Urza's Saga? I'm tempted. Let's look at the other differences.

Fairly standard main lists here. discoverN's great performance during Eternal Weekend shows that it is skill over all. Tweak those flex spots as you will, but you need some luck and good Doomsday fundamentals.
I like Enrichetta trying out Consider, but while I was thinking it would be nice for fueling Treasure Cruise, I realized no one played it this weekend. That's a statement which might be "We need speed."


Let's ignore my goofy sideboard. We have more important things to talk about.
First, Energy Flux. discoverN rightly picked out this card as it not only works against Shops, albeit a bit slowly, but can hurt Vault-Key based Saga decks. At three mana it is a hard one to cast, but can buy vital time.
Secondly, discoverN also decided to play a copy of Murktide Regent. A fast clock and an excellent blocker, this effectively 2 mana 8/8 can do a lot against non-Pyroblast decks, and well, can waste the counters in said Pyroblast decks. I like it and will be trying it more.
SingPanMan tried out Hydroblast and Sedgemoor Witch. I'm not convinced the Witch is great for us, although it does buy lots of time against the ever increasing Monkey and Thalia decks, and unlike Murktide we can simply Dark Ritual it out. Hydroblast, though, tickles my fancy. Lots of Tinker decks are leaning Red for the power Underworld Breach can add, and let's not forget the aforementioned Pyroblasts.
Enrichetta continues to try different things by replacing Leyline of the Void with Pithing Needle and adding Gaea's Blessing to the side.
I spoke with Enrichetta for some insight on their choices. While Leyline comes out turn zero, it is less effective against the increasing number of HollowVine decks. Needle is equally as vulnerable to Force of Vigor, but much more easily cast. I also found it to be useful against Wasteland out of the Hatebear decks, buying me some precious time, and mana, to get my wins.
Gaea's Blessing is more of an interesting choice. While it is a completely dead draw, and an experienced Breach pilot can beat it, placing it in your Doomsday pile against decks playing Brain Freeze or Archive Trap can help avoid defeat. This also plays into their choice of Consider. Whereas other cantrips would just move it around the deck, binning it with Consider can get back lost lands and other important cards. It's an interesting choice I'd like to delve deeper into.


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