Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2021.08.07-08

Less decks this week, and not a single Doomsday list from Sunday's challenge. Have we dropped to Tier 2? Tier 1.5? 1.1?!? No, just lots of BUG and some meta shifting. Let's see those lists.

Saturday Challenge

Preliminaries


revenantkioku (3-1)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
2 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
3 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
1 Island
2 Duress
1 Force of Despair
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Opposition Agent
4 Steel Sabotage
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

zachattack23 (3-1)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
3 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
4 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
1 Island
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Null Rod
4 Steel Sabotage

zachattack23 (3-1)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
3 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
3 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
1 Island
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Null Rod
4 Steel Sabotage

ecobaronen (4-0)

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
3 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
4 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence
Lands (14)
2 Flooded Strand
1 Island
2 Misty Rainforest
2 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
4 Underground Sea
1 Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
1 Island
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Opposition Agent
4 Steel Sabotage

League

Core and Differences

Core

Creatures (6)
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

Instants (20)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
2 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Dig Through Time
3 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Gush
1 Mental Misstep
1 Vampiric Tutor
Lands (13)
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
4 Underground Sea

Artifacts (4)
1 Black Lotus
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Mystical Tutor

Enchantments (1)
1 Necropotence

Sideboard (3)
3 Steel Sabotage

_Tutenji_ (12th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
2 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Null Rod
1 Opposition Agent

sawatarix (17th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
1 Chain of Vapor
2 Fatal Push
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Pithing Needle
1 Steel Sabotage
1 Thoughtseize

revenantkioku (3-1) Differences

Main (3)
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Fetch Land
Sideboard (12)
2 Duress
1 Force of Despair
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Opposition Agent
1 Steel Sabotage
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

zachattack23 (3-1) Differences

Main (3)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Null Rod
1 Steel Sabotage

zachattack23 (3-1) Differences

Main (3)
1 Daze
1 Force of Negation
1 Fetch Land
Sideboard (12)
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Null Rod
1 Steel Sabotage

ecobaronen (4-0) Differences

Main (3)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Opposition Agent
1 Steel Sabotage

IdraftTheBeatz (5-0) Differences

Main (3)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
2 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
1 Library of Alexandria
2 Null Rod
1 Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

Counters (14)
5 Daze
5 Flusterstorm
3 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Dispute

Mana/L⁣ands (7)
2 Fetch Lands
5 Watery Grave
Graveyard (8)
8 Leyline of the Void

Artifacts (25)
11 Hurkyl's Recall
8 Null Rod
6 Steel Sabotage

Discard (13)
12 Duress
1 Thoughtseize

Creatures (6)
5 Opposition Agent
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

Mana/Lands (11)
6 Island
5 Library of Alexandria

Counters (1)
1 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (19)
1 Chain of Vapor
16 Fatal Push
1 Force of Despair
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Other (1)
1 Pithing Needle

Thoughts

[[Treasure Cruise]] being part of the Core Deck is quite unique. [[Watery Grave]] seems to be making a larger appearance than before, likely due to BUG's huge increase in the format. The big differences we tend to be seing are in the numbers and kinds of counterspells. While [[Sedgemoor Witch]] has seem to gone away after Modern Horizons 2 dropped, dealing with [[Urza's Saga]] decks has become more of a priority.


The main questions here are how do we want to deal with Shops, do we worry about Bazaar, and what about BUG? I still feel good running [[Hurky's Recall]]. It has value both against Shops and anyone abusing [[Urza's Saga]]. I see the power of [[Null Rod]] but I don't like how it slows us down and does not do a lot against some big threats. Although it does have an interesting use against Ragavan, I don't think we are that worried about that part of that ridiculously powerful card.
I will admit that Tasigur has been lukewarm and [[Force of Despair]] was a waste of a spot.
sawatrix played a [[Thoughtseize]], taking a note from Legacy Doomsday, but I don't know if we get that much more value over [[Duress]]. Then again, it takes [[Endurance]], which is starting to show up more and more in Vintage. The low number of Leylines and only one Tabernacle is a bit of a surprise, but [[Hollow One]], or four as the joke goes, is the bigger problem with those decks. Perhaps we need to lean into something similar to Hurkyl's Recall. Get value over multiple matchups instead of the all-or-nothing spirit of Leyline, which also takes a hit because more Endurance means more cards to pitch to [[Force of Vigor]], which is already being used to snipe Urza's Saga.


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