Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.11.17

I don't have much faith in Doomsday for this Eternal Weekend, but I hope someone proves me wrong!

Friday Challenge

Dave2187

Saturday Challenge

Cherryxman

Sunday Challenge

turtsforhire

League

prosokken

Eureka22422

thepowernine

Core and Differences

Main Core: 51 cards Side Core: 3 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
4 Ponder
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (2)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (3)
2 Fatal Push
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Dave2187 - 15th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
4 Preordain
1 Thoughtseize
1 Undercity Sewers
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Duress
1 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
1 Null Rod

Cherryxman - 28th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Fetch Lands
1 Flusterstorm
2 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Ravenous Trap
4 Steel Sabotage
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

turtsforhire - 26th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Into the Flood Maw
3 Preordain
1 Thoughtseize
1 Undercity Sewers
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
2 Steel Sabotage

prosokken - 5-0 Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Duress
4 Preordain
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Undercity Sewers
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Consign to Memory
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Steel Sabotage
1 Swamp
1 Thoughtseize
1 Yixlid Jailer

Eureka22422 - 5-0 Differences

Main (9)
4 Consider
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Undercity Sewers
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Consign to Memory
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
3 Murktide Regent
1 Steel Sabotage

thepowernine - 5-0 Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
3 Preordain
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Thoughtseize
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
1 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
2 Mindbreak Trap
4 Ravenous Trap
1 Snuff Out
2 Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (6)
1 Fetch Lands
4 Undercity Sewers
1 Watery Grave

Counters (12)
4 Daze
4 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Negation

Draw (24)
4 Consider
18 Preordain
2 Sleight of Hand

Discard (4)
1 Duress
3 Thoughtseize

Removal (3)
2 Chain of Vapor
1 Into the Flood Maw

Tutors (5)
5 Vampiric Tutor
Anti-Graveyard (23)
16 Leyline of the Void
1 Nihil Spellbomb
5 Ravenous Trap
1 Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (11)
1 Null Rod
10 Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
1 Duress
1 Thoughtseize

Creatures (9)
8 Murktide Regent
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

Lands (3)
2 Island
1 Swamp

Counters (19)
2 Consign to Memory
1 Flusterstorm
7 Force of Negation
8 Mindbreak Trap
1 Mystical Dispute

Removal (5)
4 Fatal Push
1 Snuff Out

Type Main Avg Side Avg
AntiArtifact 0.00 1.83
AntiGraveyard 0.00 3.83
CoreCombo 6.00 0.00
Counter 9.00 3.17
Creature 0.00 1.50
Discard 0.67 0.33
Draw 20.00 0.00
LandsMana 21.00 0.50
Removal 0.50 3.83
Tutor 2.83 0.00
Type Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact ±0 +0.23
Anti-Graveyard ±0 -0.17
Counter +0.60 +0.37
Creature -0.20 -0.10
Discard -0.13 -0.67
Draw -0.20 ±0
Lands/Mana -0.20 +0.30
Removal -0.10 +0.03
Tutor +0.23 ±0

Thoughts

The results for Doomsday are going to be rough this coming Eternal Weekend. Honestly, if you have multiple decks to choose from in paper, I'd probably stay away at the moment. No one has really cracked the best way for us to handle Breach and Lurrus as the top two decks.

But if you love nothing more than stacking five cards, keep on trying!

I think we have a decent chance if we focus on the combo and keep sideboarding simple. Don't be cute. Drop the cards that don't help your matchup and side in just enough to keep going. I'd love to see someone Top 8!

Were I playing, I think my sideboard would favor Cut Down over Fatal Push right now as Hullbreacher numbers are up and in paper Mono-White Initiative is likely to be a common encounter.

Good luck to those playing!


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.