Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.11.10

Only five lists this week, but all fairly good challenge results.

Friday Challenge

Dave2187

Saturday Challenge

Dave2187

Clone9

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

League

Dave2187

Core and Differences

Main Core: 54 cards Side Core: 5 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (20)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (1)
Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (5)
Fatal Push
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent

Dave2187 - 6th Place Differences

Main (6)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Thoughtseize
Undercity Sewers
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (10)
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Murktide Regent
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Dave2187 - 6th Place Differences

Main (6)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Thoughtseize
Undercity Sewers
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (10)
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Murktide Regent
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Clone9 - 12th Place Differences

Main (6)
Daze
Duress
Monastery Mentor
Mystic Sanctuary
Tundra
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (10)
Duress
Null Rod
Ravenous Trap
Steel Sabotage
Thoughtseize
Tundra

discoverN - 10th Place Differences

Main (6)
Demonic Consultation
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (10)
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Dave2187 - 5-0 Differences

Main (6)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Thoughtseize
Undercity Sewers
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (10)
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Murktide Regent
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

Main (30)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Monastery Mentor
Mystic Sanctuary
Thoughtseize
Tundra
Undercity Sewers
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (20)
16 Leyline of the Void
Ravenous Trap

Anti-Artifacts (8)
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Discard (5)
Duress
Thoughtseize

Creatures (3)
Murktide Regent

Lands (1)
Tundra

Counters (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (4)
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale


Type Main Avg Side Avg
AntiArtifact 0.00 1.60
AntiGraveyard 0.00 4.00
CoreCombo 6.00 0.00
Counter 8.40 2.80
Creature 0.20 1.60
Discard 0.80 1.00
Draw 20.20 0.00
LandsMana 21.20 0.20
Removal 0.60 3.80
Tutor 2.60 0.00
Type Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact ±0 +0.10
Counter -1.10 -0.20
Creature +0.20 -0.15
Discard +0.30 +0.75
Draw +0.20 ±0
Lands/Mana +0.20 -0.05
Removal +0.35 -0.45
Tutor -0.15 ±0

Thoughts

I don't get Clone9's White-splash for only Monastery Mentor, but godspeed. Especially when you cut Demonic Consultation. But I digest.
Daze is coming back, and I'm not a fan when there's so much heavy control in the format.
Discard is also seeing a decent increase, which does make sense with all the control decks. We can't wait around forever. The more cards they draw, the worse off we'll be. But Doomsday can't just jam and pray. Discard helps a lot here.
My guess is we'll see a reaction to the Tinker decks, then a decrease in Breach, and Doomsday will be at a good spot again in perhaps a month or two, with the consistent Doomsday players seeing the best results.
Same as it ever was.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.