Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.06.16

Look at all these Modern Horizon 3 cards... in other decks.

Thursday Challenge

Jujkata

sixmp

Friday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

discoverN

Saturday Challenge

CrazyDiamond513

discoverN

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

ARCll

League

OKMV

Emperor of Vintage 11

revenantkioku - Emperor Winner

Core and Differences

Main Core: 54 cards Side Core: 8 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (18)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (21)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Undercity Sewers
Underground Sea

Tutor (2)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (8)
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Jujkata - 4th Place Differences

Main (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Tutor
Preordain
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Dismember
Dress Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sixmp - 46th Place Differences

Main (6)
Dress Down
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Steel Sabotage

Tsubasa_Cat - 5th Place Differences

Main (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Tutor
Preordain
Vampiric Tutor
Vexing Bauble
Sideboard (7)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Fatal Push
Island
Null Rod
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

discoverN - 12th Place Differences

Main (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Tutor
Preordain
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Null Rod
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 2nd Place Differences

Main (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Tutor
Preordain
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Null Rod
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage

ARCll - 24th Place Differences

Main (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Tutor
Preordain
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Dismember
Dress Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

OKMV - 5-0 Differences

Main (6)
Dress Down
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Tutor
Preordain
Sideboard (7)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
Vampiric Tutor

revenantkioku - EoV11 Winner Differences

Main (6)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Misdirection
Mystical Tutor
Spell Pierce
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Opposition Agent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

Counters (17)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Misdirection
Spell Pierce

Draw (13)
13 Preordain

Removal (3)
Chain of Vapor
Dress Down

Tutors (14)
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Other (1)
Vexing Bauble
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Artifacts (12)
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
Duress

Creatures (10)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (1)
Island

Counters (10)
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (20)
Cut Down
Dismember
Dress Down
Fatal Push
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tutors (1)
Vampiric Tutor


Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.125 Counter 3.25
Creature 1.25
Discard 0.25
Draw 19.625
LandsMana 21.0 LandsMana 0.125
Other 0.125
Removal 0.375 Removal 3.5
Tutor 3.75 Tutor 0.125
AntiArtifact 2.5
AntiGraveyard 4.0
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter +0.03 Counter -0.11
Creature +0.25
Discard +0.16
Draw -0.19
Lands/Mana +0.13
Removal -0.26 Removal -0.32
Tutor +0.30 Tutor -0.42
Anti-Artifact +0.32
Other +0.13

Thoughts

One Vexing Bauble popped up. I tried it myself in a league and in paper. I don't hate it, but there were two cases where I noticed it being Daze would have won me the game. I made that switch, and Oops, I did it again. Bauble can be pretty great if you're going to pop off that turn. But as a Two-Mox Deck, we're hurting for that extra mana.

I now shall tell you that I dared! I dared to go against The Stock and only played two Preordain. I think I liked it? Treasure Cruise still felt fine. Daze is an easy cut on the draw for many matchups, but does work. And I am forever team Misdirection over Force of Negation. The amount of Ancestral Recalls I pointed to me, I swear...

Fatal Push is making a strong comeback. By the numbers, I'm not quite seeing the reasoning yet. We'll see how things shake out when Modern Horizons 3 has been out for a month or so.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.