Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.06.16

Look at all these Modern Horizon 3 cards… in other decks.

Thursday Challenge

Jujkata

sixmp

Friday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

discoverN

Saturday Challenge

CrazyDiamond513

discoverN

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

ARCll

League

OKMV

Emperor of Vintage 11

revenantkioku – Emperor Winner

Core and Differences

Main Core: 54 cards Side Core: 8 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa’s Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (18)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
4 Ponder
2 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (21)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (2)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (8)
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Jujkata - 4th Place Differences

Main (6)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
2 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
1 Dismember
1 Dress Down
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sixmp - 46th Place Differences

Main (6)
1 Dress Down
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
2 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
1 Steel Sabotage

Tsubasa_Cat - 5th Place Differences

Main (6)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
1 Vexing Bauble
Sideboard (7)
1 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Fatal Push
1 Island
2 Null Rod
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

discoverN - 12th Place Differences

Main (6)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
2 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Null Rod
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 2nd Place Differences

Main (6)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
2 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
2 Null Rod
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage

ARCll - 24th Place Differences

Main (6)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
2 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
1 Dismember
1 Dress Down
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

OKMV - 5-0 Differences

Main (6)
1 Dress Down
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
2 Preordain
Sideboard (7)
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage
1 Vampiric Tutor

revenantkioku - EoV11 Winner Differences

Main (6)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
1 Misdirection
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Spell Pierce
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
1 Opposition Agent
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

Counters (17)
1 Daze
7 Flusterstorm
7 Force of Negation
1 Misdirection
1 Spell Pierce

Draw (13)
13 Preordain

Removal (3)
1 Chain of Vapor
2 Dress Down

Tutors (14)
7 Mystical Tutor
7 Vampiric Tutor

Other (1)
1 Vexing Bauble
Anti-Artifacts (12)
5 Null Rod
7 Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
2 Duress

Creatures (10)
2 Murktide Regent
1 Opposition Agent
7 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (1)
1 Island

Counters (10)
7 Force of Negation
3 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (20)
3 Cut Down
2 Dismember
4 Dress Down
9 Fatal Push
2 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tutors (1)
1 Vampiric Tutor


Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.125 Counter 3.25
Creature 1.25
Discard 0.25
Draw 19.625
LandsMana 21.0 LandsMana 0.125
Other 0.125
Removal 0.375 Removal 3.5
Tutor 3.75 Tutor 0.125
AntiArtifact 2.5
AntiGraveyard 4.0
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter +0.03 Counter -0.11
Creature +0.25
Discard +0.16
Draw -0.19
Lands/Mana +0.13
Removal -0.26 Removal -0.32
Tutor +0.30 Tutor -0.42
Anti-Artifact +0.32
Other +0.13

Thoughts

One Vexing Bauble popped up. I tried it myself in a league and in paper. I don’t hate it, but there were two cases where I noticed it being Daze would have won me the game. I made that switch, and Oops, I did it again. Bauble can be pretty great if you’re going to pop off that turn. But as a Two-Mox Deck, we’re hurting for that extra mana.

I now shall tell you that I dared! I dared to go against The Stock and only played two Preordain. I think I liked it? Treasure Cruise still felt fine. Daze is an easy cut on the draw for many matchups, but does work. And I am forever team Misdirection over Force of Negation. The amount of Ancestral Recalls I pointed to me, I swear…

Fatal Push is making a strong comeback. By the numbers, I’m not quite seeing the reasoning yet. We’ll see how things shake out when Modern Horizons 3 has been out for a month or so.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.