Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.03.31

Don't read this cool data too fast, or you might get a Brain Freeze!

Saturday Challenge

discoverN

Diem4x

CrazyDiamond513

kauffj

Gn42

MagerMistake

Showcase Challenge

Enrichetta

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

Rank1Lynx

CrazyDiamond513

Preliminaries

CrazyDiamond513

League

discoverN

HaadfS

Core and Differences

Main Core: 53 cards Side Core: 3 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (8)
3 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
4 Ponder
1 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (19)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (3)
1 Force of Negation
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 2nd Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

Diem4x - 9th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

CrazyDiamond513 - 10th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Brain Freeze
1 Dress Down
1 Island
1 Lotus Petal
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Underworld Breach
1 Volcanic Island
Sideboard (12)
1 Annul
1 Dress Down
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Pithing Needle
1 Steel Sabotage

kauffj - 35th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Fetch Lands
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

Gn42 - 49th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

MagerMistake - 53rd Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

Enrichetta - 6th Place Differences

Main (7)
2 Daze
1 Dress Down
1 Fetch Lands
2 Force of Negation
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Island
2 Null Rod
2 Pithing Needle
1 Steel Sabotage
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Yixlid Jailer

discoverN - 9th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Rank1Lynx - 22nd Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
2 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

CrazyDiamond513 - 3-1 Differences

Main (7)
1 Brain Freeze
1 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
1 Lotus Petal
1 Underworld Breach
1 Volcanic Island
Sideboard (12)
1 Cut Down
2 Duress
1 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Pithing Needle
1 Slice and Dice
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 5-0 Differences

Main (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

HaadfS - 5-0 Differences

Main (7)
1 Fetch Lands
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
2 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (26)
3 Fetch Lands
11 Island
2 Lotus Petal
8 Undercity Sewers
2 Volcanic Island

Counters (15)
2 Daze
12 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap

Draw (36)
27 Preordain
9 Treasure Cruise

Removal (3)
3 Dress Down

Other (4)
2 Brain Freeze
2 Underworld Breach
Anti-Graveyard (51)
1 Grafdigger's Cage
44 Leyline of the Void
4 Pithing Needle
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (14)
1 Hurkyl's Recall
2 Null Rod
11 Steel Sabotage

Discard (3)
3 Duress

Creatures (9)
2 Murktide Regent
7 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (1)
1 Island

Counters (20)
1 Annul
2 Force of Negation
17 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (46)
19 Cut Down
12 Dress Down
2 Fatal Push
1 Slice and Dice
11 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.25 Counter 2.67
Creature 0.75
Discard 0.25
Draw 19.0
LandsMana 21.17 LandsMana 0.08
Removal 0.25 Removal 4.83
Tutor 4.0
AntiArtifact 2.17
AntiGraveyard 4.25
Other 0.33
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter +0.08 Counter +0.28
Creature -0.81
Discard -0.56 Discard -0.31
Draw +0.44
Lands/Mana +0.11 Lands/Mana -0.25
Removal -0.47 Removal +0.50
Anti-Artifact -0.11
Anti-Graveyard +0.69
Other +0.33

Thoughts

Twelve lists this week, and we are seeing a good amount of settling on four copies of Preordain in addition to Ponder. I'll say it again: Cantrip your way to a game one win and trim down to what you need in games two and three.
I was not expecting to see a Brain Freeze/Underworld Breach package this week. Will this catch on or be one of those weird little versions we see once in a Blue (Red?) Moon?
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse is back in the sideboards at a healthy number, which initially felt weird as Control Vine numbers feel down, but seem to have had a slight increase as of lately. Thumbs up to those with their pulse on the meta.

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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.