Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.03.24

Hi, Emperor of Vintage here, checking in with your weekly Doomsdata!

Saturday Challenge

discoverN

Maxtortion

Gn42

SuperCow12653

Gerschi

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

Gerschi

Rank1Lynx

swengen

Last Chance Qualifiers

Terribad

ecobaronen

TheManLand

keeline

Terribad

Gn42

Terribad

revenantkioku

10th Emperor of Vintage

revenantkioku

Core and Differences

Main Core: 51 cards Side Core: 2 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (14)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
4 Ponder
3 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk

L⁣and/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (2)
2 Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 6th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Maxtortion - 23rd Place Differences

Main (9)
2 Daze
2 Dress Down
1 Lotus Petal
2 Spell Pierce
1 Street Wraith
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Daze
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
2 Murktide Regent
1 Pithing Needle
2 Thoughtseize

Gn42 - 29th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
3 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

SuperCow12653 - 35th Place Differences

Main (10)
4 Preordain
2 Spell Pierce
1 Street Wraith
1 Strip Mine
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Ray of Enfeeblement
2 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
2 Virtue's Ruin

Gerschi - 46th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Cut Down
1 Fatal Push
1 Hullbreacher
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
1 Opposition Agent
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 2nd Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Gerschi - 26th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Cut Down
1 Fatal Push
1 Hullbreacher
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
1 Opposition Agent
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Rank1Lynx - 32nd Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Murktide Regent
2 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

swengen - 35th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Terribad - 3-2 Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
2 Duress
1 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
2 Preordain
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Hullbreacher
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Strip Mine
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
1 Thoughtseize

ecobaronen - 0-2 Differences

Main (9)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
3 Daze
2 Duress
1 Island
2 Mindbreak Trap
2 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage

TheManLand - 1-1 Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

keeline - 1-1 Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
2 Duress
1 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
2 Preordain
1 Strip Mine
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
2 Wasteland

Terribad - 0-1 Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
2 Duress
1 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
2 Preordain
1 Strip Mine
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
2 Wasteland

Gn42 - 0-1 Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Terribad - 2-2 Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
2 Duress
1 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
2 Preordain
1 Strip Mine
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
2 Wasteland

revenantkioku - 0-2 Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Flusterstorm
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
2 Dauthi Voidwalker
2 Dress Down
1 Duress
2 Force of Negation
1 Grafdigger's Cage
2 Surgical Extraction
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku - 1st Differences

Main (9)
1 Force of Negation
1 Misdirection
4 Preordain
1 Street Wraith
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
2 Cut Down
2 Dauthi Voidwalker
2 Dress Down
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
1 Null Rod
1 Snuff Out
2 Surgical Extraction
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (23)
1 Lotus Petal
4 Strip Mine
17 Undercity Sewers
1 Watery Grave

Counters (39)
7 Daze
16 Flusterstorm
11 Force of Negation
1 Misdirection
4 Spell Pierce

Draw (82)
59 Preordain
12 Street Wraith
11 Treasure Cruise

Discard (10)
10 Duress

Removal (9)
3 Chain of Vapor
4 Fatal Push
2 Dress Down
Anti-Graveyard (64)
3 Grafdigger's Cage
56 Leyline of the Void
1 Pithing Needle
4 Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (5)
2 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Null Rod
2 Steel Sabotage

Discard (10)
7 Duress
3 Thoughtseize

Creatures (28)
4 Dauthi Voidwalker
3 Hullbreacher
5 Murktide Regent
2 Opposition Agent
14 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (6)
6 Island

Counters (43)
4 Daze
19 Force of Negation
20 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (78)
24 Cut Down
6 Dress Down
7 Fatal Push
3 Ray of Enfeeblement
13 Snuff Out
1 Strip Mine
16 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
2 Virtue's Ruin
6 Wasteland

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.17 Counter 2.39
Creature 1.56
Discard 0.56 Discard 0.56
Draw 18.56
Lands/Mana 21.06 LandsMana 0.33
Removal 0.72 Removal 4.33
Tutor 4.0
AntiArtifact 2.28
AntiGraveyard 3.56
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter -0.11 Counter +0.07
Creature -0.35
Discard +0.01 Discard +0.15
Draw +1.42
Lands/Mana -0.44 Lands/Mana +0.06
Removal -0.37 Removal -0.03
Anti-Artifact -0.09
Anti-Graveyard -0.09 Anti-Graveyard +0.28
Other -0.36 Other -0.09

Thoughts

With eighteen lists, it is surprising how similar they became. Both Tinker and Lurrus builds are nowhere to be found. Only one player chose to run Watery Grave over Undercity Sewers. Running three copies of Street Wraith remains a thing. I don't get it, but I suppose people are trying to fit in all these cantrips.
One thing I hadn't predicted was the four copies of Ponder all but eliminating main deck Dress Down. It makes sense. Dress Down became an expensive cantrip in some matchups, so leave them in the side. Ponder or Preordain to get the win faster.

The continued appearance of Strip Mine and Wasteland in some sideboards is curious to me, but it does double duty against Urza's Saga and Bazaar of Baghdad. Other than that, no particular spice this week. But that is the trend as the meta settles after the Ponder unrestriction.

The big thing is plenty of people are playing Doomsday. Vintage events my dry up a bit, as it seems there are no more Vintage Showcases this year. A bummer, but you'll see me posting whatever comes up. ABCD, friends.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.