Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.03.24

Hi, Emperor of Vintage here, checking in with your weekly Doomsdata!

Saturday Challenge

discoverN

Maxtortion

Gn42

SuperCow12653

Gerschi

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

Gerschi

Rank1Lynx

swengen

Last Chance Qualifiers

Terribad

ecobaronen

TheManLand

keeline

Terribad

Gn42

Terribad

revenantkioku

10th Emperor of Vintage

revenantkioku

Core and Differences

Main Core: 51 cards Side Core: 2 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (14)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Street Wraith
Time Walk

L⁣and/Mana (20)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (2)
Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 6th Place Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Maxtortion - 23rd Place Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Dress Down
Lotus Petal
Spell Pierce
Street Wraith
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Daze
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Murktide Regent
Pithing Needle
Thoughtseize

Gn42 - 29th Place Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

SuperCow12653 - 35th Place Differences

Main (10)
Preordain
Spell Pierce
Street Wraith
Strip Mine
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Ray of Enfeeblement
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Virtue's Ruin

Gerschi - 46th Place Differences

Main (9)
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Fatal Push
Hullbreacher
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 2nd Place Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Gerschi - 26th Place Differences

Main (9)
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Fatal Push
Hullbreacher
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Rank1Lynx - 32nd Place Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

swengen - 35th Place Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Ray of Enfeeblement
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Terribad - 3-2 Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Duress
Fatal Push
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Grafdigger's Cage
Hullbreacher
Island
Leyline of the Void
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Strip Mine
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Thoughtseize

ecobaronen - 0-2 Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Daze
Duress
Island
Mindbreak Trap
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

TheManLand - 1-1 Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

keeline - 1-1 Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Duress
Fatal Push
Flusterstorm
Preordain
Strip Mine
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Grafdigger's Cage
Island
Leyline of the Void
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Wasteland

Terribad - 0-1 Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Duress
Fatal Push
Flusterstorm
Preordain
Strip Mine
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Island
Leyline of the Void
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Wasteland

Gn42 - 0-1 Differences

Main (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Terribad - 2-2 Differences

Main (9)
Daze
Duress
Fatal Push
Flusterstorm
Preordain
Strip Mine
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Island
Leyline of the Void
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Wasteland

revenantkioku - 0-2 Differences

Main (9)
Chain of Vapor
Flusterstorm
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Dauthi Voidwalker
Dress Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Grafdigger's Cage
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku - 1st Differences

Main (9)
Force of Negation
Misdirection
Preordain
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Dauthi Voidwalker
Dress Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Null Rod
Snuff Out
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (23)
Lotus Petal
Strip Mine
17 Undercity Sewers
Watery Grave

Counters (39)
Daze
16 Flusterstorm
11 Force of Negation
Misdirection
Spell Pierce

Draw (82)
59 Preordain
12 Street Wraith
11 Treasure Cruise

Discard (10)
10 Duress

Removal (9)
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push
Dress Down
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (64)
Grafdigger's Cage
56 Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (5)
Hurkyl's Recall
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Discard (10)
Duress
Thoughtseize

Creatures (28)
Dauthi Voidwalker
Hullbreacher
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
14 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (6)
Island

Counters (43)
Daze
19 Force of Negation
20 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (78)
24 Cut Down
Dress Down
Fatal Push
Ray of Enfeeblement
13 Snuff Out
Strip Mine
16 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Virtue's Ruin
Wasteland

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.17 Counter 2.39
Creature 1.56
Discard 0.56 Discard 0.56
Draw 18.56
Lands/Mana 21.06 LandsMana 0.33
Removal 0.72 Removal 4.33
Tutor 4.0
AntiArtifact 2.28
AntiGraveyard 3.56
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter -0.11 Counter +0.07
Creature -0.35
Discard +0.01 Discard +0.15
Draw +1.42
Lands/Mana -0.44 Lands/Mana +0.06
Removal -0.37 Removal -0.03
Anti-Artifact -0.09
Anti-Graveyard -0.09 Anti-Graveyard +0.28
Other -0.36 Other -0.09

Thoughts

With eighteen lists, it is surprising how similar they became. Both Tinker and Lurrus builds are nowhere to be found. Only one player chose to run Watery Grave over Undercity Sewers. Running three copies of Street Wraith remains a thing. I don't get it, but I suppose people are trying to fit in all these cantrips.
One thing I hadn't predicted was the four copies of Ponder all but eliminating main deck Dress Down. It makes sense. Dress Down became an expensive cantrip in some matchups, so leave them in the side. Ponder or Preordain to get the win faster.

The continued appearance of Strip Mine and Wasteland in some sideboards is curious to me, but it does double duty against Urza's Saga and Bazaar of Baghdad. Other than that, no particular spice this week. But that is the trend as the meta settles after the Ponder unrestriction.

The big thing is plenty of people are playing Doomsday. Vintage events my dry up a bit, as it seems there are no more Vintage Showcases this year. A bummer, but you'll see me posting whatever comes up. ABCD, friends.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.