Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.03.31

Don't read this cool data too fast, or you might get a Brain Freeze!

Saturday Challenge

discoverN

Diem4x

CrazyDiamond513

kauffj

Gn42

MagerMistake

Showcase Challenge

Enrichetta

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

Rank1Lynx

CrazyDiamond513

Preliminaries

CrazyDiamond513

League

discoverN

HaadfS

Core and Differences

Main Core: 53 cards Side Core: 3 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (8)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (19)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (3)
Force of Negation
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 2nd Place Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Diem4x - 9th Place Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

CrazyDiamond513 - 10th Place Differences

Main (7)
Brain Freeze
Dress Down
Island
Lotus Petal
Mindbreak Trap
Underworld Breach
Volcanic Island
Sideboard (12)
Annul
Dress Down
Duress
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage

kauffj - 35th Place Differences

Main (7)
Fetch Lands
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Gn42 - 49th Place Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

MagerMistake - 53rd Place Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Enrichetta - 6th Place Differences

Main (7)
Daze
Dress Down
Fetch Lands
Force of Negation
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Grafdigger's Cage
Island
Null Rod
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction
Yixlid Jailer

discoverN - 9th Place Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Rank1Lynx - 22nd Place Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

CrazyDiamond513 - 3-1 Differences

Main (7)
Brain Freeze
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Island
Lotus Petal
Underworld Breach
Volcanic Island
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Duress
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Slice and Dice
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 5-0 Differences

Main (7)
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

HaadfS - 5-0 Differences

Main (7)
Fetch Lands
Force of Negation
Island
Preordain
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (26)
Fetch Lands
11 Island
Lotus Petal
Undercity Sewers
Volcanic Island

Counters (15)
Daze
12 Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Draw (36)
27 Preordain
Treasure Cruise

Removal (3)
Dress Down

Other (4)
Brain Freeze
Underworld Breach
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (51)
Grafdigger's Cage
44 Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Surgical Extraction
Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (14)
Hurkyl's Recall
Null Rod
11 Steel Sabotage

Discard (3)
Duress

Creatures (9)
Murktide Regent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (1)
Island

Counters (20)
Annul
Force of Negation
17 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (46)
19 Cut Down
12 Dress Down
Fatal Push
Slice and Dice
11 Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.25 Counter 2.67
Creature 0.75
Discard 0.25
Draw 19.0
LandsMana 21.17 LandsMana 0.08
Removal 0.25 Removal 4.83
Tutor 4.0
AntiArtifact 2.17
AntiGraveyard 4.25
Other 0.33
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter +0.08 Counter +0.28
Creature -0.81
Discard -0.56 Discard -0.31
Draw +0.44
Lands/Mana +0.11 Lands/Mana -0.25
Removal -0.47 Removal +0.50
Anti-Artifact -0.11
Anti-Graveyard +0.69
Other +0.33

Thoughts

Twelve lists this week, and we are seeing a good amount of settling on four copies of Preordain in addition to Ponder. I'll say it again: Cantrip your way to a game one win and trim down to what you need in games two and three.
I was not expecting to see a Brain Freeze/Underworld Breach package this week. Will this catch on or be one of those weird little versions we see once in a Blue (Red?) Moon?
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse is back in the sideboards at a healthy number, which initially felt weird as Control Vine numbers feel down, but seem to have had a slight increase as of lately. Thumbs up to those with their pulse on the meta.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.