Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.02.18
- Eric
- 0
- on Feb 23, 2024
Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.02.18
The big question of this week: to Surveil or not to Surveil?
Saturday Showcase Challenge
Preliminaries
League
Core and Differences
Main Core: 48 cards Side Core: 2 cards
Core
| Core-Combo (6) 4 Doomsday 2 Thassa's Oracle Counter (7) 2 Flusterstorm 4 Force of Will 1 Mental Misstep Draw (11) 1 Ancestral Recall 1 Brainstorm 1 Gitaxian Probe 1 Gush 1 Necropotence 1 Ponder 2 Preordain 2 Street Wraith 1 Time Walk Lands/Mana (19) 1 Black Lotus 4 Dark Ritual 8 Fetch Lands 1 Mox Jet 1 Mox Sapphire 4 Underground Sea Tutor (4) 1 Demonic Consultation 1 Demonic Tutor 1 Mystical Tutor 1 Vampiric Tutor | Sideboard (2) 1 Steel Sabotage 1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale |
Enrichetta - 6th Place Differences
| Main (13) 2 Daze 1 Dig Through Time 1 Dress Down 1 Fetch Land 1 Flusterstorm 2 Force of Negation 2 Preordain 2 Street Wraith 1 Undercity Sewers | Sideboard (13) 2 Dress Down 2 Force of Negation 1 Grafdigger's Cage 1 Hurkyl's Recall 1 Island 2 Null Rod 2 Pithing Needle 1 Surgical Extraction 1 Yixlid Jailer |
Diem4x - 18th Place Differences
Gerschi - 117th Place Differences
kalcin66rocks - 148th Place Differences
| Main (13) 1 Bolas's Citadel 1 Daze 1 Island 1 Lotus Petal 1 Mana Crypt 1 Mana Vault 1 Mox Pearl 1 Mox Ruby 1 Sol Ring 3 The One Ring 1 Tinker | Sideboard (13) 2 Cut Down 2 Dismember 1 Duress 2 Force of Negation 2 Pithing Needle 1 Portal to Phyrexia 1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse 1 Sphinx of the Steel Wind 1 Steel Sabotage |
Capitano_CL - 200th Place Differences
kalcin66rocks - 1-2 Differences
Gerschi - 4-0 Differences
Enrichetta - 5-0 Differences
| Main (13) 2 Daze 1 Dig Through Time 1 Dress Down 1 Fetch Land 1 Flusterstorm 2 Force of Negation 2 Preordain 2 Street Wraith 1 Watery Grave | Sideboard (13) 2 Dress Down 2 Force of Negation 1 Grafdigger's Cage 1 Hurkyl's Recall 1 Island 2 Null Rod 2 Pithing Needle 1 Surgical Extraction 1 Yixlid Jailer |
Total Differences
| Lands/Mana (26) 6 Fetch Lands 6 Island 2 Lotus Petal 2 Mana Crypt 2 Mana Vault 2 Mox Pearl 2 Mox Ruby 2 Sol Ring 1 Undercity Sewers 1 Watery Grave Counters (28) 7 Daze 7 Flusterstorm 8 Force of Negation 6 Spell Pierce Draw (37) 6 Dig Through Time 12 Preordain 4 Sleight of Hand 9 Street Wraith 6 The One Ring Discard (4) 4 Duress Removal (5) 2 Dress Down 3 Repeal Tutors (2) 2 Tinker Other (2) 2 Bolas's Citadel | Sideboard (0) Anti-Graveyard (26) 2 Grafdigger's Cage 13 Leyline of the Void 6 Pithing Needle 1 Soul-Guide Lantern 2 Surgical Extraction 2 Yixlid Jailer Anti-Artifacts (15) 5 Hurkyl's Recall 4 Null Rod 6 Steel Sabotage Discard (2) 2 Duress Creatures (19) 3 Hullbreacher 3 Murktide Regent 3 Opposition Agent 8 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse 2 Sphinx of the Steel Wind Lands (2) 2 Island Counters (12) 8 Force of Negation 4 Mindbreak Trap Removal (28) 8 Cut Down 4 Dismember 4 Dress Down 4 Fatal Push 2 Portal to Phyrexia 1 Soul Rend 2 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale 3 Virtue's Ruin |
| Main | Averages | Side | Averages |
|---|---|---|---|
| CoreCombo | 6.0 | ||
| Counter | 10.5 | Counter | 1.5 |
| Creature | 2.375 | ||
| Discard | 0.5 | Discard | 0.25 |
| Draw | 15.625 | ||
| LandsMana | 22.25 | LandsMana | 0.25 |
| Removal | 0.625 | Removal | 4.5 |
| Tutor | 4.25 | ||
| AntiArtifact | 2.875 | ||
| AntiGraveyard | 3.25 | ||
| Other | 0.25 |
| Main | Difference | Side | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Counter | +0.67 | Counter | -1.33 |
| Creature | +1.04 | ||
| Discard | -0.67 | Discard | -0.08 |
| Draw | -0.88 | ||
| Lands/Mana | +1.08 | Lands/Mana | +0.08 |
| Removal | -0.38 | Removal | -0.17 |
| Tutor | +0.08 | ||
| Anti-Artifact | +0.38 | ||
| Anti-Graveyard | +0.08 | ||
| Other | +0.08 |
Thoughts
Tinker Doomsday is back! With similar results.
Okay, let's turn to the exciting thing of the week: Surveil Lands! Specifically, Undercity Sewers.
A Doomsday list in the top 8 played it. Exciting? Kind of.
So obviously, 1-offs have the problem of, well, you can play many a tournament and never see them. Lands, though, we fetch lands. This raises an interesting question: Can Doomsday afford to fetch a tapped land? I've found myself end-step fetching Watery Grave like a Modern Player now and again. Turning that into a Surveil is not a terrible proposition. The problem is there has been the odd game where the two-life from Watery Grave being the only land in my opener mattered. Undercity Sewers, being that opening land changes the feels of mulligans slightly. What is most interesting to me about Enrichetta's list is that it did not replace Watery Grave or a fetch. It replaced Basic Island. Now feels like an incredibly risky time to make that play. But fortune favors the bold, right?
Being in the top 8 list will put Undercity Sewers in lists for a while. If I had to guess if it would stick around or not? My gut says no, but I hope I'm surprised.
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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.