Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.10.01

Dress Down! *flails wildly*

Saturday Challenge

reiderrabbit - 9th Place

Enrichetta - 29th Place

Sunday Challenge

SingPanMan - 6th Place

ManaTraders September 2023

revenantkioku - 55th Place

Buffalo Chicken Dip Legacy Vintage Open 1

Dustin Heidecker - 3-3

Core and Differences

Main Core: 44 cards Side Core: 3 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (8)
3 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Removal (1)
1 Dress Down

Tutor (4)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (3)
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

reiderrabbit - 9th Place Differences

Main (5)
1 Daze
2 Duress
1 Lotus Petal
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Hurkyl's Recall
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Murktide Regent
2 Steel Sabotage
2 Subtlety

Enrichetta - 29th Place Differences

Main (5)
2 Daze
2 Force of Negation
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
1 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Energy Flux
1 Fatal Push
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Island
1 Opposition Agent
1 Pithing Needle
2 Surgical Extraction
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
1 Virtue's Ruin

SingPanMan - 6th Place Differences

Main (5)
2 Daze
1 Dress Down
1 Fetch Lands
1 Lorien Revealed
Sideboard (12)
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Opposition Agent
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
4 Subtlety

revenantkioku - 55th Place Differences

Main (5)
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Spell Pierce
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
2 Cut Down
1 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Opposition Agent
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Steel Sabotage

Dustin Heidecker 3-3 Differences

Main (5)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Lands
1 Force of Negation
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (12)
1 Dismember
1 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Steel Sabotage
2 Subtlety

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (6)
2 Fetch Lands
1 Lotus Petal
3 Watery Grave

Counters (11)
5 Daze
4 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Spell Pierce

Draw (3)
1 Lorien Revealed
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Treasure Cruise

Discard (4)
4 Duress

Removal (1)
1 Dress Down
Anti-Graveyard (19)
16 Leyline of the Void
1 Pithing Needle
2 Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (8)
1 Energy Flux
2 Hurkyl's Recall
5 Steel Sabotage

Creatures (4)
1 Murktide Regent
3 Opposition Agent

Lands (2)
2 Island

Counters (4)
2 Force of Negation
2 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (23)
5 Cut Down
1 Dismember
2 Dress Down
2 Fatal Push
2 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
8 Subtlety
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
1 Virtue's Ruin

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0 Creature 0.8
Counter 10.2 Counter 0.8
Discard 0.8 AntiArtifact 2.6
Draw 16.6 AntiGraveyard 3.8
LandsMana 21.2 LandsMana 0.4
Removal 1.2 Removal 6.6
Tutor 4.0
Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact +0.60
Anti-Graveyard -0.20
Counter +0.20 Counter -1.53
Creature -0.20
Discard -0.20 Discard -0.67
Draw -0.73
Lands/Mana +0.20 Lands/Mana +0.40
Removal +0.53 Removal +1.60

Thoughts

Is it finally time to restrict Wasteland?
No. But when the meta shifts to a lot of decks playing it, Doomsday just is not going to do great. Skilled players are still making some waves, yet we're just not seeing the numbers like we did a while back. It's the Circle of Vintage.
Looking at the lists, Subtlety is making a bit of a splash. MWI was to be expected. Also can have a little play against the Lurrus decks. I like SingPanMan going up to two copies of Dress Down. The card does a lot of work. But I wonder. These Lurrus decks are Graveyard decks and while Leyline of the Void feels like overkill, is it time for Cling to Dust to make a reappearance? Snagging a Master of Death is 3 life and one less card for ControlVine to pitch to Force of Will. And Doomsday loves its one-mana cards.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.