Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.10.01

Dress Down! *flails wildly*

Saturday Challenge

reiderrabbit - 9th Place

Enrichetta - 29th Place

Sunday Challenge

SingPanMan - 6th Place

ManaTraders September 2023

revenantkioku - 55th Place

Buffalo Chicken Dip Legacy Vintage Open 1

Dustin Heidecker - 3-3

Core and Differences

Main Core: 44 cards Side Core: 3 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (8)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Removal (1)
Dress Down

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (3)
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

reiderrabbit - 9th Place Differences

Main (5)
Daze
Duress
Lotus Petal
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Murktide Regent
Steel Sabotage
Subtlety

Enrichetta - 29th Place Differences

Main (5)
Daze
Force of Negation
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Energy Flux
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Opposition Agent
Pithing Needle
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Virtue's Ruin

SingPanMan - 6th Place Differences

Main (5)
Daze
Dress Down
Fetch Lands
Lorien Revealed
Sideboard (12)
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
Subtlety

revenantkioku - 55th Place Differences

Main (5)
Duress
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Spell Pierce
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Island
Leyline of the Void
Opposition Agent
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage

Dustin Heidecker 3-3 Differences

Main (5)
Duress
Fetch Lands
Force of Negation
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (12)
Dismember
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage
Subtlety

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (6)
Fetch Lands
Lotus Petal
Watery Grave

Counters (11)
Daze
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Spell Pierce

Draw (3)
Lorien Revealed
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise

Discard (4)
Duress

Removal (1)
Dress Down
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (19)
16 Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (8)
Energy Flux
Hurkyl's Recall
Steel Sabotage

Creatures (4)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent

Lands (2)
Island

Counters (4)
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (23)
Cut Down
Dismember
Dress Down
Fatal Push
Ray of Enfeeblement
Snuff Out
Subtlety
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Virtue's Ruin

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0 Creature 0.8
Counter 10.2 Counter 0.8
Discard 0.8 AntiArtifact 2.6
Draw 16.6 AntiGraveyard 3.8
LandsMana 21.2 LandsMana 0.4
Removal 1.2 Removal 6.6
Tutor 4.0
Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact +0.60
Anti-Graveyard -0.20
Counter +0.20 Counter -1.53
Creature -0.20
Discard -0.20 Discard -0.67
Draw -0.73
Lands/Mana +0.20 Lands/Mana +0.40
Removal +0.53 Removal +1.60

Thoughts

Is it finally time to restrict Wasteland?
No. But when the meta shifts to a lot of decks playing it, Doomsday just is not going to do great. Skilled players are still making some waves, yet we're just not seeing the numbers like we did a while back. It's the Circle of Vintage.
Looking at the lists, Subtlety is making a bit of a splash. MWI was to be expected. Also can have a little play against the Lurrus decks. I like SingPanMan going up to two copies of Dress Down. The card does a lot of work. But I wonder. These Lurrus decks are Graveyard decks and while Leyline of the Void feels like overkill, is it time for Cling to Dust to make a reappearance? Snagging a Master of Death is 3 life and one less card for ControlVine to pitch to Force of Will. And Doomsday loves its one-mana cards.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.