Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.09.17

Tinker Doomsday is back! And I made top 8 in a paper tournament. Which is the bigger news?

Saturday Challenge

discoverN - 24th Place

Sunday Challenge

discoverN - 11th Place

duke12 - 31st Place

Tensaku Cup Vol. 7

月見 - 1st
revenantkioku - 2nd

Core and Differences

Main Core: 53 cards Side Core: 5 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (11)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Mental Misstep
Street Wraith

Draw (12)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (5)
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap

discoverN - 24th Place Differences

Main (7)
Bolas's Citadel
Dress Down
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Mana Crypt
Mishra's Bauble
Tinker
Sideboard (10)
Cut Down
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 11th Place Differences

Main (7)
Bolas's Citadel
Fetch Land
Flusterstorm
Mana Crypt
Mishra's Bauble
Tinker
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (10)
Cut Down
Duress
Force of Negation
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

duke12 - 31st Place Differences

Main (7)
Dress Down
Duress
Fetch Land
Narset, Parter of Veils
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
Chain of Vapor
Dress Down
Duress
Hurkyl's Recall
Mindbreak Trap
Snuff Out
Subtlety

Tsukimi - 1st Differences

Main (7)
Duress
Flusterstorm
Orcish Bowmasters
Portent
Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Orcish Bowmasters
Ray of Enfeeblement
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku - 2nd Differences

Main (7)
Dress Down
Duress
Flusterstorm
Mishra's Bauble
Spell Pierce
Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
Chain of Vapor
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (8)
Fetch Lands
Mana Crypt
Watery Grave

Counters (7)
Flusterstorm
Spell Pierce

Draw (7)
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise

Discard (3)
Duress

Creatures (2)
Orcish Bowmasters

Removal (3)
Dress Down

Tutors (2)
Tinker

Other (3)
Bolas's Citadel
Narset, Parter of Veils
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Artifacts (10)
Hurkyl's Recall
Steel Sabotage

Discard (4)
Duress

Creatures (4)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Orcish Bowmasters

Counters (6)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (26)
Chain of Vapor
Cut Down
Dress Down
Ray of Enfeeblement
Snuff Out
Subtlety
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 8.4 Counter 2.2
Creature 0.4 Creature 0.8
Discard 0.6 Discard 0.8
Draw 17.4
LandsMana 21.6
Removal 0.6 Removal 5.2
Tutor 4.4
AntiArtifact 2.0
AntiGraveyard 4.0
Other 0.6
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter -1.60 Counter -0.05
Creature +0.40 Creature -0.95
Discard -0.15 Discard +0.55
Draw +0.15
Lands/Mana +0.35 Lands/Mana -0.25
Removal +0.10 Removal -0.05
Tutor +0.40
Anti-Artifact -0.25
Anti-Graveyard +1.00
Other +0.35

Thoughts

discoverN took a more relaxed take on the Doomsday Tinker idea. Only Tinker, Bolas's Citadel, and Mana Crypt made the cut. I like this because Citadel is still castable, Crypt can with the Delve spells and the occasional hard-casting of Force of Will, and Tinker still pitches to Force.
Tsukimi, who actually was my only loss during the Swiss at the Tensaku Cup, likely made the call that main Orcish Bowmasters would help with the many Bazaar decks at the tournament. I somehow dodged them all and played against UB Ring for half of my rounds. Only to lose to Jewel Shops having monster hands in the Top 8, but so it goes.

I keep getting asked if Doomsday has any use of Beseech the Mirror. I say no. We lack the tools to guarantee we'll be able to use Bargain, and we don't want Diabolic Tutor. If Beseech has a home in Vintage, it's in a Storm deck.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.