Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.09.17

Tinker Doomsday is back! And I made top 8 in a paper tournament. Which is the bigger news?

Saturday Challenge

discoverN - 24th Place

Sunday Challenge

discoverN - 11th Place

duke12 - 31st Place

Tensaku Cup Vol. 7

月見 - 1st
revenantkioku - 2nd

Core and Differences

Main Core: 53 cards Side Core: 5 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (11)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep
4 Street Wraith

Draw (12)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
1 Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (5)
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap

discoverN - 24th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Bolas's Citadel
1 Dress Down
1 Fetch Land
1 Flusterstorm
1 Mana Crypt
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Tinker
Sideboard (10)
2 Cut Down
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
2 Ray of Enfeeblement
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 11th Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Bolas's Citadel
1 Fetch Land
1 Flusterstorm
1 Mana Crypt
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Tinker
1 Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (10)
2 Cut Down
2 Duress
1 Force of Negation
2 Ray of Enfeeblement
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

duke12 - 31st Place Differences

Main (7)
1 Dress Down
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Narset, Parter of Veils
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Dress Down
1 Duress
1 Hurkyl's Recall
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Snuff Out
4 Subtlety

Tsukimi - 1st Differences

Main (7)
1 Duress
2 Flusterstorm
2 Orcish Bowmasters
1 Portent
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
2 Cut Down
1 Force of Negation
1 Orcish Bowmasters
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
3 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

revenantkioku - 2nd Differences

Main (7)
1 Dress Down
1 Duress
2 Flusterstorm
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Spell Pierce
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (10)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Dress Down
1 Force of Negation
2 Murktide Regent
1 Opposition Agent
1 Snuff Out
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (8)
3 Fetch Lands
2 Mana Crypt
3 Watery Grave

Counters (7)
6 Flusterstorm
1 Spell Pierce

Draw (7)
3 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
1 Sleight of Hand
2 Treasure Cruise

Discard (3)
3 Duress

Creatures (2)
2 Orcish Bowmasters

Removal (3)
3 Dress Down

Tutors (2)
2 Tinker

Other (3)
2 Bolas's Citadel
1 Narset, Parter of Veils
Anti-Artifacts (10)
1 Hurkyl's Recall
9 Steel Sabotage

Discard (4)
4 Duress

Creatures (4)
2 Murktide Regent
1 Opposition Agent
1 Orcish Bowmasters

Counters (6)
1 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (26)
2 Chain of Vapor
6 Cut Down
2 Dress Down
5 Ray of Enfeeblement
3 Snuff Out
4 Subtlety
4 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 8.4 Counter 2.2
Creature 0.4 Creature 0.8
Discard 0.6 Discard 0.8
Draw 17.4
LandsMana 21.6
Removal 0.6 Removal 5.2
Tutor 4.4
AntiArtifact 2.0
AntiGraveyard 4.0
Other 0.6
Main Difference Side Difference
Counter -1.60 Counter -0.05
Creature +0.40 Creature -0.95
Discard -0.15 Discard +0.55
Draw +0.15
Lands/Mana +0.35 Lands/Mana -0.25
Removal +0.10 Removal -0.05
Tutor +0.40
Anti-Artifact -0.25
Anti-Graveyard +1.00
Other +0.35

Thoughts

discoverN took a more relaxed take on the Doomsday Tinker idea. Only Tinker, Bolas's Citadel, and Mana Crypt made the cut. I like this because Citadel is still castable, Crypt can with the Delve spells and the occasional hard-casting of Force of Will, and Tinker still pitches to Force.
Tsukimi, who actually was my only loss during the Swiss at the Tensaku Cup, likely made the call that main Orcish Bowmasters would help with the many Bazaar decks at the tournament. I somehow dodged them all and played against UB Ring for half of my rounds. Only to lose to Jewel Shops having monster hands in the Top 8, but so it goes.

I keep getting asked if Doomsday has any use of Beseech the Mirror. I say no. We lack the tools to guarantee we'll be able to use Bargain, and we don't want Diabolic Tutor. If Beseech has a home in Vintage, it's in a Storm deck.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.