Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2021.08.07-08

Less decks this week, and not a single Doomsday list from Sunday's challenge. Have we dropped to Tier 2? Tier 1.5? 1.1?!? No, just lots of BUG and some meta shifting. Let's see those lists.

Saturday Challenge

Preliminaries


revenantkioku (3-1)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Dispute
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
Island
Duress
Force of Despair
Hurkyl's Recall
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

zachattack23 (3-1)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea
Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
Island
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

zachattack23 (3-1)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea

Sideboard (15)
Island
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

ecobaronen (4-0)

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (23)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence
Lands (14)
Flooded Strand
Island
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Underground Sea
Watery Grave

Sideboard (15)
Island
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Library of Alexandria
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage

League

Core and Differences

Core

Creatures (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (13)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

Instants (20)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Vampiric Tutor
Lands (13)
Fetch Lands
Island
Underground Sea

Artifacts (4)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Mystical Tutor

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence

Sideboard (3)
Steel Sabotage

_Tutenji_ (12th Place) Differences

Main (3)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Null Rod
Opposition Agent

sawatarix (17th Place) Differences

Main (3)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push
Island
Leyline of the Void
Library of Alexandria
Pithing Needle
Steel Sabotage
Thoughtseize

revenantkioku (3-1) Differences

Main (3)
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
Fetch Land
Sideboard (12)
Duress
Force of Despair
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

zachattack23 (3-1) Differences

Main (3)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

zachattack23 (3-1) Differences

Main (3)
Daze
Force of Negation
Fetch Land
Sideboard (12)
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

ecobaronen (4-0) Differences

Main (3)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Library of Alexandria
Opposition Agent
Steel Sabotage

IdraftTheBeatz (5-0) Differences

Main (3)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Watery Grave
Sideboard (12)
Duress
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Library of Alexandria
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

Counters (14)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute

Mana/Lā£ands (7)
Fetch Lands
Watery Grave
Sideboard

Graveyard (8)
Leyline of the Void

Artifacts (25)
11 Hurkyl's Recall
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Discard (13)
12 Duress
Thoughtseize

Creatures (6)
Opposition Agent
Tasigur, the Golden Fang

Mana/Lands (11)
Island
Library of Alexandria

Counters (1)
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (19)
Chain of Vapor
16 Fatal Push
Force of Despair
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Other (1)
Pithing Needle

Thoughts

[[Treasure Cruise]] being part of the Core Deck is quite unique. [[Watery Grave]] seems to be making a larger appearance than before, likely due to BUG's huge increase in the format. The big differences we tend to be seing are in the numbers and kinds of counterspells. While [[Sedgemoor Witch]] has seem to gone away after Modern Horizons 2 dropped, dealing with [[Urza's Saga]] decks has become more of a priority.


The main questions here are how do we want to deal with Shops, do we worry about Bazaar, and what about BUG? I still feel good running [[Hurky's Recall]]. It has value both against Shops and anyone abusing [[Urza's Saga]]. I see the power of [[Null Rod]] but I don't like how it slows us down and does not do a lot against some big threats. Although it does have an interesting use against Ragavan, I don't think we are that worried about that part of that ridiculously powerful card.
I will admit that Tasigur has been lukewarm and [[Force of Despair]] was a waste of a spot.
sawatrix played a [[Thoughtseize]], taking a note from Legacy Doomsday, but I don't know if we get that much more value over [[Duress]]. Then again, it takes [[Endurance]], which is starting to show up more and more in Vintage. The low number of Leylines and only one Tabernacle is a bit of a surprise, but [[Hollow One]], or four as the joke goes, is the bigger problem with those decks. Perhaps we need to lean into something similar to Hurkyl's Recall. Get value over multiple matchups instead of the all-or-nothing spirit of Leyline, which also takes a hit because more Endurance means more cards to pitch to [[Force of Vigor]], which is already being used to snipe Urza's Saga.


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