Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2021.04.06-11

Thirteen decks this week! Is Doomsday a problem? Or is this just the cyclical life that we Magic players must endure?

Showcase Challenge




Sunday Challenge




Preliminaries




League

Core and Differences

Core

Main (57)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Black Lotus
1 Brainstorm
4 Dark Ritual
2 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
4 Doomsday
9 Fetch Lands
2 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Island
1 Mental Misstep
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Mystical Dispute
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Necropotence
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
2 Thassa's Oracle
1 Time Walk
4 Underground Sea
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (10)
1 Island
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Mindbreak Trap
4 Steel Sabotage

zachattack23 (7th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
2 Opposition Agent

GGoggles (13th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Opposition Agent
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

Jacobisboss (14th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
Sideboard (5)
2 Fatal Push
3 Opposition Agent

SuperCow12653 (30th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Opposition Agent

Diem4x (1st Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
2 Opposition Agent

Enrichetta (12th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent

ThornOfWrath (16th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Opposition Agent
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

GGoggles (20th Place) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Opposition Agent
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

discoverN (4-0) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Opposition Agent

XShockWaveX (5-0) Differences

Main (3)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Dig Through Time
1 Peek
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Hurkyl's Recall
2 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

TristanJWL (4-0) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Thoughtseize
Sideboard (5)
1 Eliminate
1 Fatal Push
1 Library of Alexandria
1 Opposition Agent
1 Treasure Cruise

Jacobisboss (3-2) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
2 Opposition Agent

Diem4x (5-0) Differences

Main (3)
1 Dig Through Time
1 Flusterstorm
1 Portent
Sideboard (5)
1 Duress
2 Fatal Push
1 Opposition Agent
1 Tasigur, the Golden Fang

Total Differences

Draw (23)
1 Peek
10 Portent
12 Dig Through Time

Counters (12)
12 Flusterstorm

Discard (3)
2 Duress
1 Thoughtseize

Bounce (1)
1 Chain of Vapor
Artifacts (1)
1 Hurkyl's Recall

Discard (10)
10 Duress

Draw (1)
1 Treasure Cruise

Creatures (21)
4 Tasigur, the Golden Fang
17 Opposition Agent

Lands (4)
4 Library of Alexandria

Counters (1)
1 Flusterstorm

Removal (27)
1 Eliminate
3 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
23 Fatal Push

Thoughts

The core this week is 57-10, which is quite high. Looking at the core lists, Dig/Fluster/Portent is in nine of the lists, the rest being Dig/Duress/Fluster, Duress/Fluster/Portent, Chain/Dig/Peek, and Dig/Fluster/Thoughtseize. That's only one deck choosing to forego Dig Through Time, and most of the different lists choosing to add discard.
We don't see anything out of the ordinary in the sideboard this time, other than a Treasure Cruise, which I am assuming comes in versus Jeskai or other grindy matchups. I almost like it more than Library of Alexandria. But I also think that is an incredibly difficulty card to play.
Perhaps the sheer number of Doomsday decks with similar lists could be concerning to some. However, some people have been running data and it seems so far in 2021 that Doomsday isn't doing particularly better than any other deck. It just feels that way. A book could probably be written on Combo in Magic and how people simply hate it to the point of wanting it gone more than any other archetype, but that's perhaps another story for another time.
Let's see what the next weekend brings us.