Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2025-05-18

Is everything converging to Lurrus?

Thursday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

Shuichi_Saito

Friday Challenge

revenantkioku

ecobaronen

Sunday Challenge

Matti

SingPanMan

Vintage Qualifier

Matti

Core and Differences

Main Core: 43 cards Side Core: 8 cards

Core

Core-Combo (5)
4 Doomsday
1 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (11)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
4 Ponder
1 Time Walk
1 Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (19)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
7 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (1)
1 Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (8)
3 Fatal Push
4 Leyline of the Void
1 Snuff Out

Tsubasa_Cat - 3rd Place Differences

Main (17)
1 Daze
2 Force of Negation
3 Lórien Revealed
3 Mishra's Bauble
4 Psychic Frog
1 Swamp
2 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
1 Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Null Rod
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Shuichi_Saito - 23rd Place Differences

Main (17)
1 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Fetch Lands
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Necropotence
4 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Thassa's Oracle
1 Thoughtseize
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
1 Daze
1 Force of Negation
2 Murktide Regent
1 Snuff Out
2 Steel Sabotage

revenantkioku - 13th Place Differences

Main (17)
1 Chain of Vapor
4 Consider
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Duress
1 Fetch Lands
1 Flusterstorm
1 Jace, Wielder of Mysteries
1 Misdirection
4 Street Wraith
1 Thassa's Oracle
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
1 Force of Negation
1 Murktide Regent
1 Null Rod
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
2 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

ecobaronen - 27th Place Differences

Main (17)
1 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Fetch Lands
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Necropotence
4 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Thassa's Oracle
1 Thoughtseize
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (7)
1 Daze
1 Force of Negation
2 Murktide Regent
1 Snuff Out
2 Steel Sabotage

Matti - 2nd Place Differences

Main (17)
1 Demonic Consultation
2 Force of Negation
3 Lórien Revealed
3 Mishra's Bauble
4 Psychic Frog
1 Swamp
1 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student
1 Thassa's Oracle
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
1 Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Null Rod
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

SingPanMan - 10th Place Differences

Main (17)
4 Consider
1 Daze
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Duress
1 Fetch Lands
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Street Wraith
1 Thassa's Oracle
1 Undercity Sewers
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
2 Abhorrent Oculus
1 Jace, Wielder of Mysteries
1 Null Rod
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Matti - 22nd Place Differences

Main (17)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Duress
1 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
3 Lórien Revealed
4 Psychic Frog
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Swamp
1 Thassa's Oracle
1 Thoughtseize
1 Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
1 Consign to Memory
1 Force of Negation
1 Lurrus of the Dream-Den
2 Null Rod
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
1 Yixlid Jailer

Total Differences

Core Combo (7)
1 Jace, Wielder of Mysteries
6 Thassa's Oracle

L⁣ands/Mana (14)
4 Fetch Lands
3 Swamp
6 Undercity Sewers
1 Watery Grave

Counters (18)
4 Daze
4 Flusterstorm
9 Force of Negation
1 Misdirection

Draw (50)
8 Consider
9 Lórien Revealed
6 Mishra's Bauble
2 Necropotence
8 Preordain
1 Sleight of Hand
16 Street Wraith

Discard (6)
3 Duress
3 Thoughtseize

Creatures (15)
12 Psychic Frog
3 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student

Removal (2)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Fatal Push

Tutors (7)
6 Demonic Consultation
1 Vampiric Tutor
Core Combo (1)
1 Jace, Wielder of Mysteries

Anti-Graveyard (1)
1 Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (15)
8 Null Rod
7 Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
2 Duress

Creatures (11)
2 Abhorrent Oculus
3 Lurrus of the Dream-Den
5 Murktide Regent
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Counters (11)
1 Consign to Memory
2 Daze
6 Force of Negation
2 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (8)
3 Snuff Out
5 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Type Main Avg Side Avg
AntiArtifact 0.00 2.14
AntiGraveyard 0.00 4.14
CoreCombo 6.00 0.14
Counter 9.57 1.57
Creature 2.14 1.57
Discard 0.86 0.29
Draw 18.14 0.00
LandsMana 21.00 0.00
Removal 0.29 5.14
Tutor 2.00 0.00
Type Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact ±0 +0.31
Anti-Graveyard ±0 -0.19
Core Combo -0.17 +0.14
Counter -0.43 -0.60
Creature +0.98 -0.43
Discard -0.14 +0.29
Draw +0.48 ±0
Lands/Mana +0.33 ±0
Removal -0.38 +0.64
Tutor -0.67 -0.17

Thoughts

While the Lurrus version seems to be doing well, how much of that is wasted on having the Doomsday combo in it as well? Is the Great Lurrus Convergence upon us?
I am looking forward to the upcoming Paradoxical Outcome Restriction, but that's another story for another time.
Personally, I'm still digging Jace. SingPanMan has shifted the card to the sideboard, but having another win condition that pitches to Force of Will is nice.
Then again, is just Time Walk looping with Psychic Frog and Dooomsday better?


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.