Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2025-05-18

Is everything converging to Lurrus?

Thursday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

Shuichi_Saito

Friday Challenge

revenantkioku

ecobaronen

Sunday Challenge

Matti

SingPanMan

Vintage Qualifier

Matti

Core and Differences

Main Core: 43 cards Side Core: 8 cards

Core

Core-Combo (5)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (11)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Ponder
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (19)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (1)
Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (8)
Fatal Push
Leyline of the Void
Snuff Out

Tsubasa_Cat - 3rd Place Differences

Main (17)
Daze
Force of Negation
Lórien Revealed
Mishra's Bauble
Psychic Frog
Swamp
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
Duress
Force of Negation
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
Mindbreak Trap
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Shuichi_Saito - 23rd Place Differences

Main (17)
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Fetch Lands
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Necropotence
Preordain
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle
Thoughtseize
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
Daze
Force of Negation
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

revenantkioku - 13th Place Differences

Main (17)
Chain of Vapor
Consider
Demonic Consultation
Duress
Fetch Lands
Flusterstorm
Jace, Wielder of Mysteries
Misdirection
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
Force of Negation
Murktide Regent
Null Rod
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

ecobaronen - 27th Place Differences

Main (17)
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Fetch Lands
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Necropotence
Preordain
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle
Thoughtseize
Watery Grave
Sideboard (7)
Daze
Force of Negation
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Matti - 2nd Place Differences

Main (17)
Demonic Consultation
Force of Negation
Lórien Revealed
Mishra's Bauble
Psychic Frog
Swamp
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student
Thassa's Oracle
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
Duress
Force of Negation
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
Mindbreak Trap
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

SingPanMan - 10th Place Differences

Main (17)
Consider
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Duress
Fetch Lands
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle
Undercity Sewers
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Abhorrent Oculus
Jace, Wielder of Mysteries
Null Rod
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Matti - 22nd Place Differences

Main (17)
Demonic Consultation
Duress
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Lórien Revealed
Psychic Frog
Sleight of Hand
Swamp
Thassa's Oracle
Thoughtseize
Undercity Sewers
Sideboard (7)
Consign to Memory
Force of Negation
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
Null Rod
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Yixlid Jailer

Total Differences

Core Combo (7)
Jace, Wielder of Mysteries
Thassa's Oracle

L⁣ands/Mana (14)
Fetch Lands
Swamp
Undercity Sewers
Watery Grave

Counters (18)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Misdirection

Draw (50)
Consider
Lórien Revealed
Mishra's Bauble
Necropotence
Preordain
Sleight of Hand
16 Street Wraith

Discard (6)
Duress
Thoughtseize

Creatures (15)
12 Psychic Frog
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student

Removal (2)
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push

Tutors (7)
Demonic Consultation
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (0)

Core Combo (1)
Jace, Wielder of Mysteries

Anti-Graveyard (1)
Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (15)
Null Rod
Steel Sabotage

Discard (2)
Duress

Creatures (11)
Abhorrent Oculus
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
Murktide Regent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Counters (11)
Consign to Memory
Daze
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (8)
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Type Main Avg Side Avg
AntiArtifact 0.00 2.14
AntiGraveyard 0.00 4.14
CoreCombo 6.00 0.14
Counter 9.57 1.57
Creature 2.14 1.57
Discard 0.86 0.29
Draw 18.14 0.00
LandsMana 21.00 0.00
Removal 0.29 5.14
Tutor 2.00 0.00
Type Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact ±0 +0.31
Anti-Graveyard ±0 -0.19
Core Combo -0.17 +0.14
Counter -0.43 -0.60
Creature +0.98 -0.43
Discard -0.14 +0.29
Draw +0.48 ±0
Lands/Mana +0.33 ±0
Removal -0.38 +0.64
Tutor -0.67 -0.17

Thoughts

While the Lurrus version seems to be doing well, how much of that is wasted on having the Doomsday combo in it as well? Is the Great Lurrus Convergence upon us?
I am looking forward to the upcoming Paradoxical Outcome Restriction, but that's another story for another time.
Personally, I'm still digging Jace. SingPanMan has shifted the card to the sideboard, but having another win condition that pitches to Force of Will is nice.
Then again, is just Time Walk looping with Psychic Frog and Dooomsday better?


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.