Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2025.02.16

Well, that's a solid drop.

Thursday Challenge

2plus2isfive

Viatt

Friday Challenge

ScreenwriterNY

sixmp

Saturday Challenge

sixmp

Sunday Challenge

ThomasH

E_Kaminuma

Core and Differences

Main Core: 51 cards Side Core: 4 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (15)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
4 Ponder
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (21)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (2)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (4)
4 Leyline of the Void

2plus2isfive - 21st Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
4 Consider
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (11)
2 Consign to Memory
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
3 Murktide Regent
1 Null Rod
2 Snuff Out

Viatt - 29th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
4 Consider
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (11)
2 Consign to Memory
2 Fatal Push
1 Force of Negation
3 Murktide Regent
1 Null Rod
1 Snuff Out
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

ScreenwriterNY - 12th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Consider
1 Daze
2 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Lórien Revealed
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (11)
1 Dismember
1 Force of Negation
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
2 Snuff Out
3 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sixmp - 25th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (11)
4 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
2 Null Rod
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sixmp - 23rd Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Force of Negation
4 Preordain
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (11)
4 Fatal Push
1 Flusterstorm
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
1 Null Rod
1 Subtlety
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

E_Kaminuma - 25th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Duress
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
4 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (11)
1 Consign to Memory
3 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
2 Mindbreak Trap
2 Murktide Regent
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

ThomasH - 15th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Fatal Push
4 Preordain
1 Thoughtseize
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (11)
1 Duress
3 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
2 Null Rod
1 Steel Sabotage
2 Yixlid Jailer

Total Differences

Counters (13)
4 Daze
4 Flusterstorm
5 Force of Negation

Draw (30)
9 Consider
1 Lórien Revealed
16 Preordain
4 Treasure Cruise

Discard (7)
6 Duress
1 Thoughtseize

Removal (5)
4 Chain of Vapor
1 Fatal Push

Tutors (8)
2 Mystical Tutor
6 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (2)
2 Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (11)
7 Null Rod
4 Steel Sabotage

Discard (1)
1 Duress

Creatures (14)
14 Murktide Regent

Counters (19)
5 Consign to Memory
2 Flusterstorm
7 Force of Negation
5 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (30)
1 Dismember
18 Fatal Push
5 Snuff Out
1 Subtlety
5 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Type Main Avg Side Avg
AntiArtifact 0.00 1.57
AntiGraveyard 0.00 4.29
CoreCombo 6.00 0.00
Counter 8.86 2.71
Creature 0.00 2.00
Discard 1.00 0.14
Draw 19.29 0.00
LandsMana 21.00 0.00
Removal 0.71 4.29
Tutor 3.14 0.00

| Type | Main Difference | Side Difference |
| Anti-Artifact | ±0 | +0.67 |
| Anti-Graveyard | ±0 | +0.19 |
| Counter | +0.06 | -0.89 |
| Discard | -0.10 | +0.14 |
| Draw | -0.31 | ±0 |
| Removal | +0.31 | -0.11 |
| Tutor | +0.04 | ±0 |

Thoughts

So much for that increase in Discard that I expected! Or maybe it showed up in players who didn't make the Top 32.
Doomsday had a 20% win rate in the Thursday Challenge, which is pretty rough. Seems like people are prepared for the deck now, or new cards like Stock Up are giving an advantage to decks with a full set of Moxen.
Unfortunately, Aetherdrift has absolutely nothing for Doomsday to play, so maybe we'll be saved by Sponge Bob or Final Fantasy.

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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.