Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.08.18

Do you believe in Frogs?

Thursday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

Friday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

Saturday Challenge

Enrichetta

Sunday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

SingPanMan

Core and Differences

Main Core: 51 cards Side Core: 3 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counter (7)
2 Flusterstorm
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
4 Ponder
1 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
1 Undercity Sewers
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (2)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
Sideboard (3)
1 Null Rod
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tsubasa_Cat - 30th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
3 Psychic Frog
Sideboard (12)
1 Consign to Memory
2 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Steel Sabotage

Tsubasa_Cat - 5th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
3 Psychic Frog
Sideboard (12)
1 Consign to Memory
2 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
3 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Steel Sabotage

Enrichetta - 1st Place Differences

Main (9)
2 Daze
1 Dress Down
1 Fetch Lands
1 Flusterstorm
2 Force of Negation
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Consign to Memory
2 Dress Down
2 Force of Negation
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Island
1 Null Rod
2 Pithing Needle
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Yixlid Jailer

Tsubasa_Cat - 9th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
1 Island
3 Preordain
3 Psychic Frog
Sideboard (12)
1 Consign to Memory
2 Fatal Push
2 Force of Negation
3 Leyline of the Void
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Steel Sabotage

SingPanMan - 12th Place Differences

Main (9)
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Island
1 Mystical Tutor
3 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (12)
1 Dress Down
4 Leyline of the Void
3 Long Goodbye
1 Null Rod
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
2 Steel Sabotage

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (5)
1 Fetch Lands
4 Island

Counters (12)
3 Daze
4 Flusterstorm
5 Force of Negation

Draw (13)
12 Preordain
1 Treasure Cruise

Discard (1)
1 Duress

Creatures (9)
9 Psychic Frog

Removal (1)
1 Dress Down

Tutors (4)
2 Mystical Tutor
2 Vampiric Tutor
Anti-Graveyard (19)
1 Grafdigger's Cage
14 Leyline of the Void
2 Pithing Needle
1 Surgical Extraction
1 Yixlid Jailer

Anti-Artifacts (7)
2 Null Rod
5 Steel Sabotage

Creatures (1)
1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (1)
1 Island

Counters (18)
4 Consign to Memory
8 Force of Negation
6 Mindbreak Trap

Removal (14)
3 Dress Down
6 Fatal Push
3 Long Goodbye
2 Ray of Enfeeblement

Type Main Avg Side Avg
AntiArtifact 0.00 3.40
AntiGraveyard 0.00 3.80
CoreCombo 6.00 0.00
Counter 9.40 3.60
Creature 1.80 0.20
Discard 0.20 0.00
Draw 18.60 0.00
LandsMana 21.00 0.20
Removal 0.20 3.80
Tutor 2.80 0.00
Type Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact ±0 -0.24
Anti-Graveyard ±0 +0.35
Counter +0.13 +0.78
Creature +0.62 -0.35
Discard +0.20 -0.36
Draw +0.05 ±0
Lands/Mana ±0 +0.20
Removal -0.35 -0.20
Tutor -0.65 ±0
Other ±0 -0.18

Thoughts

We're seeing an interesting shift towards Psychic Frog.
While the question "Why not just win fast?" remains, with more potent cards like Consign to Memory available to fight Doomsday, the simple answer is "We need more out of our cards."
While I had been initially impressed with Barrowgoyf, Frog does things that we need to win with Doomsday.
I (sadly) suspect no changes to Vintage with the upcoming Ban and Restriction Update next week, so at the moment, Frogs are where Doomsday is headed.

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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.