Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2024.05.19

Spreading Seas? This can't be right. This can't be right.

Friday Challenge

Tsubasa_Cat

Saturday Challenge

Diem4x

ziofrancone

Sunday Challenge

discoverN

Rank1Lynx

League

swengen

Core and Differences

Main Core: 59 cards Side Core: 8 cards

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (20)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk
Treasure Cruise

L⁣ands/Mana (21)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Undercity Sewers
Underground Sea

Tutor (3)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Sideboard (8)
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tsubasa_Cat - 31st Place Differences

Main (1)
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Diem4x - 30th Place Differences

Main (1)
Spreading Seas
Sideboard (7)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Steel Sabotage
Vampiric Tutor

ziofrancone - 35th Place Differences

Main (1)
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Fatal Push
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 14th Place Differences

Main (1)
Spreading Seas
Sideboard (7)
Defense Grid
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Steel Sabotage
Vampiric Tutor

Rank1Lynx - 44th Place Differences

Main (1)
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Fatal Push
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

swengen - 5-0 Differences

Main (1)
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (7)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out

Total Differences

Main (0)

Removal (2)
Spreading Seas

Tutors (4)
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (0)

Creatures (4)
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Counters (13)
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap
Steel Sabotage

Removal (22)
Cut Down
Dress Down
Fatal Push
Snuff Out
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tutors (2)
Vampiric Tutor

Other (1)
Defense Grid

Main Difference Side Difference
Counter +0.15 Counter -0.36
Creature +0.05
Discard -0.38 Discard -0.08
Draw +0.62
Removal -0.59 Removal +0.44
Tutor +0.28 Tutor -0.28
Other +0.01
Anti-Artifact +0.22
Anti-Graveyard -0.15
Totals -0.08 -0.00
Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0
Counter 9.0 Counter 2.33
Creature 1.67
Draw 20.0
LandsMana 21.0
Removal 0.33 Removal 4.67
Tutor 3.67 Tutor 0.33
AntiArtifact 1.83
AntiGraveyard 4.0
Other 0.17

Thoughts

It's been a while since we've seen both so few decks and such little variance between them. While the purpose of Spreading Seas is clear, I still don't understand why you'd play it instead of Dress Down.
Interesting to see discoverN trying Defense Grid. It's been fine in certain metas. I'd probably play it before Duress at the moment. The jump to two copies of Sheoldred, the Apocalypse is indicative of the struggle caused by Lurrus Saga. It's also interesting to see Steel Sabotage go up and Mindbreak Trap decline.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.