Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.07.30

Oh, Tinker Doomsday, where have you gone? Refinement time, I am sure.

Saturday Challenge

CrazyDiamond513 - 6th Place

sixmp - 16th Place

discoverN - 17th Place

bennybo - 20th Place

Tsubasa_Cat - 26th Place

Sunday Challenge

CrazyDiamond513 - 3rd Place

Vertyx3 - 6th Place

discoverN - 16th Place

League

CrazyDiamond513 - 5-0

Core and Differences

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (9)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Discard (1)
Duress

Draw (16)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

L⁣ands/Mana (21)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Sideboard (1)
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 6th Place Differences

Main (3)
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (14)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Orcish Bowmasters
Pithing Needle
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

sixmp - 16th Place Differences

Main (3)
Flusterstorm
Mishra's Bauble
Sideboard (14)
Annul
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Subtlety

discoverN - 17th Place Differences

Main (3)
Mishra's Bauble
Mystical Dispute
Portent
Sideboard (14)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

bennybo - 20th Place Differences

Main (3)
Mindbreak Trap
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sideboard (14)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Tsubasa_Cat - 26th Place Differences

Main (3)
Mindbreak Trap
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sideboard (14)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 3rd Place Differences

Main (3)
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (14)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Orcish Bowmasters
Pithing Needle
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Vertyx3 - 6th Place Differences

Main (3)
Mindbreak Trap
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sideboard (14)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Orcish Bowmasters
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 16th Place Differences

Main (3)
Mishra's Bauble
Mystical Dispute
Portent
Sideboard (14)
Cut Down
Force of Negation
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 5-0 Differences

Main (3)
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (14)
Fatal Push
Force of Negation
Orcish Bowmasters
Pithing Needle
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
Surgical Extraction
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

Main (0)

Counters (12)
Flusterstorm
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute

Draw (15)
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (36)
24 Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (25)
Hurkyl's Recall
24 Steel Sabotage

Creatures (12)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Orcish Bowmasters

Counters (18)
Annul
Force of Negation
Mindbreak Trap

Removal (35)
Cut Down
Fatal Push
Snuff Out
Subtlety
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Main Core: 57 cards Side Core: 1 card

Averages

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0 AntiArtifact 2.78
Counter 10.33 AntiGraveyard 4.0
Discard 1.0 Counter 2.0
Draw 17.67 Creature 1.33
Lands/Mana 21.0 Removal 4.89
Tutor 4.0

Weekly Differences

Main Difference Side Difference
Anti-Artifact ±0 Anti-Artifact -0.51
Counters +0.04 Creature +0.19
Discard +0.29 Removal +4.89
Draw +1.10 Tutor -4.57
Lands/Mana -0.57
Removal -0.29
Tutor +3.71
Other -4.29

Thoughts

Tinker Doomsday has yet to catch on. Copy/Past meta.
Okay, I'll stop making jokes. I know some people are having results, and most do better than me at Doomsday. I just like to tease. If you know me, you know I'm a lovable guy. But I digest.
Very, very samey main lists this week. Everyone agreeing on Duress feels a bit rare. Mystical Dispute making a comeback is interesting. Being able to snag a Hullbreacher as well as the standard array of Blue spells is nice as we continue this Blue The One Ring meta.
Sideboards are quite diversive, though, as sixmp decided to skip Steel Sabotage for Hurkyl's Recall and CrazyDiamond513 is not playing Leyline of the Void.
I've run the 2 Surgical Extraction package before. It does work, and feels like it has legs against other decks – but you must be careful about oversideboarding Surigcal Extraction. It is so tempting. Pithing Needle is similar. There are places you might want it, but remember the goal: Cast Doomsday and win.
Orcish Bowmasters being the most common creature this week may look surprising, but CrazyDiamond513 has also been on a tear. I quite like the Orcs. They can do a number on Bazaar based strategies, as well as simply give two blockers for two mana. Sometimes that is all you need.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.