Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.06.18

While the mains are very similar, the sideboards have some wild differences this week.

Saturday Challenge

ecobaronen - 17th Place

Tsubasa_Cat - 26th Place

Sunday Challenge

ecobaronen - 12th Place

Tsubasa_Cat - 14th Place

Preliminaries

CrazyDiamond513 - 3-1

MentalMisstep - 3-1

Core and Differences

Core

Core-Combo (6)
Doomsday
Thassa's Oracle

Counter (9)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dig Through Time
Gitaxian Probe
Gush
Necropotence
Ponder
Preordain
Street Wraith
Time Walk
Lands/Mana (20)
Black Lotus
Dark Ritual
Fetch Lands
Island
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire
Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
Demonic Consultation
Demonic Tutor
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor

Sideboard (2)
Force of Negation
Steel Sabotage

ecobaronen - 17th Place Differences

Main (5)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Daze
Duress
Fatal Push
Island
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Tsubasa_Cat - 26th Place Differences

Main (5)
Duress
Fetch Land
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Ray of Enfeeblement
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

ecobaronen - 12th Place Differences

Main (5)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise
Watery Grave
Sideboard (13)
Daze
Duress
Fatal Push
Island
Mystical Dispute
Snuff Out
Steel Sabotage

Tsubasa_Cat - 14th Place Differences

Main (5)
Duress
Fetch Land
Force of Negation
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Murktide Regent
Ray of Enfeeblement
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 3-1 Differences

Main (5)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Fetch Land
Force of Negation
Treasure Cruise
Sideboard (13)
Hurkyl's Recall
Island
Pithing Needle
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Surgical Extraction
Suspend
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

MentalMisstep - 3-1 Differences

Main (5)
Daze
Fatal Push
Fetch Land
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Thoughtseize
Sideboard (13)
Cut Down
Duress
Fatal Push
Gaea's Blessing
Leyline of the Void
Mindbreak Trap
Opposition Agent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
Steel Sabotage
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (6)
Fetch Lands
Watery Grave

Counters (9)
Daze
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation

Draw (9)
Mishra's Bauble
Portent
Sleight of Hand
Treasure Cruise

Discard (3)
Duress
Thoughtseize

Creatures (1)
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Removal (2)
Chain of Vapor
Fatal Push
Sideboard (0)

Anti-Graveyard (16)
12 Leyline of the Void
Pithing Needle
Surgical Extraction

Anti-Artifacts (12)
Hurkyl's Recall
11 Steel Sabotage

Discard (5)
Duress

Creatures (8)
Murktide Regent
Opposition Agent
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse

Lands (3)
Island

Counters (9)
Daze
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute

Removal (24)
Cut Down
Fatal Push
Ray of Enfeeblement
Snuff Out
Suspend
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Other (1)
Gaea's Blessing

Thoughts

Main Core: 55 cards Side Core: 2 cards

Seeing little tweaks being tested out in Leagues and Preliminaries is interesting, but ultimately for a six round tournament, the staples go far.

Averages

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0 AntiArtifact 3.0
Counter 10.5 AntiGraveyard 2.67
Creature 0.17 Counter 2.5
Discard 0.5 Creature 1.33
Draw 17.5 Discard 0.83
LandsMana 21.0 LandsMana 0.5
Tutor 4.0 Removal 4.0
Removal 0.33 Other 0.17

Differences

Main Difference Side Difference
Creature +0.05 Anti-Artifact -0.13
Discard -0.25 Anti-Graveyard -1.33
Draw +0.25 Counter +0.13
Removal -0.05 Creature +0.83
Discard +0.71
LandsMana +0.50
Removal -0.88
Other +0.17

The dip in Discard is a bit interesting, but mostly because it went to Creatures and Draw instead of Counters like I would expect.
The Counters in the side went up, along with the Discard, so it's a bit of shuffling between the Main and Sideboard. Well, for the non Challenge lists.

If I went back to the time right before Cut Down released, I bet we'd see a similar stabilization. Orcish Bowmasters is likely to make a splash in Vintage, and we'll see how decks look next week. I'm expecting some shakeups, and maybe even fewer lists as Doomsday players figure out how to handle this new threat.


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Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.