Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2023.06.11

With four decks placing in Saturday's Challenge, I expected a lot more than the eight lists we got this week. Still, a solid showing and some interesting choices.

Saturday Challenge

ecobaronen - 1st Place

discoverN - 3rd Place

CrazyDiamond513 - 8th Place

keeline - 29th Place

Sunday Challenge

discoverN - 12th Place

Preliminaries

CrazyDiamond513 - 3-1

League

keeline - 5-0

CrazyDiamond513 - 5-0

Core and Differences

Core

Core Combo (6)
4 Doomsday
2 Thassa's Oracle

Counters (10)
1 Daze
3 Flusterstorm
1 Force of Negation
4 Force of Will
1 Mental Misstep

Draw (16)
1 Ancestral Recall
1 Brainstorm
1 Dig Through Time
1 Gitaxian Probe
1 Gush
1 Necropotence
1 Ponder
4 Preordain
4 Street Wraith
1 Time Walk
Lands/Mana (20)
1 Black Lotus
4 Dark Ritual
8 Fetch Lands
1 Island
1 Mox Jet
1 Mox Sapphire
4 Underground Sea

Tutor (4)
1 Demonic Consultation
1 Demonic Tutor
1 Mystical Tutor
1 Vampiric Tutor

Sideboard (7)
1 Force of Negation
4 Leyline of the Void
2 Steel Sabotage

ecobaronen - 1st Place Differences

Main (4)
1 Flusterstorm
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Treasure Cruise
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (8)
4 Fatal Push
2 Null Rod
2 Steel Sabotage

discoverN - 3rd Place Differences

Main (4)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (8)
2 Cut Down
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 8th Place Differences

Main (4)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (8)
1 Cut Down
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
2 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
2 Subtlety
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

keeline - 29th Place Differences

Main (4)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (8)
2 Cut Down
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

discoverN - 12th Place Differences

Main (4)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (8)
2 Cut Down
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 3-1 Differences

Main (4)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
1 Monastery Mentor
1 Tundra
Sideboard (8)
1 Cut Down
1 Duress
1 Mindbreak Trap
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
2 Subtlety
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

keeline - 5-0 Differences

Main (4)
1 Duress
1 Fetch Land
1 Mishra's Bauble
1 Portent
Sideboard (8)
2 Cut Down
2 Mindbreak Trap
1 Ray of Enfeeblement
1 Snuff Out
1 Steel Sabotage
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

CrazyDiamond513 - 5-0 Differences

Main (4)
1 Chain of Vapor
1 Daze
1 Duress
1 Watery Grave
Sideboard (8)
1 Cut Down
1 Mindbreak Trap
2 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
1 Snuff Out
2 Subtlety
1 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Total Differences

L⁣ands/Mana (8)
4 Fetch Lands
1 Tundra
3 Watery Grave

Counters (4)
3 Daze
1 Flusterstorm

Draw (10)
4 Mishra's Bauble
4 Portent
1 Sleight of Hand
1 Treasure Cruise

Discard (6)
6 Duress

Creatures (1)
1 Monastery Mentor

Removal (3)
3 Chain of Vapor
Anti-Artifacts (2)
2 Null Rod

Discard (1)
1 Duress

Creatures (4)
4 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse.

Counters (18)
11 Mindbreak Trap
7 Steel Sabotage

Removal (39)
11 Cut Down
4 Fatal Push
5 Ray of Enfeeblement
6 Snuff Out
6 Subtlety
7 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Thoughts

Main Core: 56 cards Side Core: 7 cards

CrazyDiamond513 sure likes Chain of Vapor. ecobaronen did well with what looks to be what the deck was around last year, only with a sideboard more focused on the current meta. discoverN's list is very often copied.


The split of Cut Down, Ray of Enfeeblement, and Snuff Out (!!) was common this week, but ecobaronen went simple with four Fatal Push. You'll never have one when you want another in that case, but having to turn on Revolt worries me.

Averages

Main Averages Side Averages
CoreCombo 6.0 AntiArtifact 3.125
Counter 10.5 AntiGraveyard 4.0
Creature 0.125 Counter 2.375
Discard 0.75 Creature 0.5
Draw 17.25 Discard 0.125
LandsMana 21.0 Removal 4.875
Removal 0.375
Tutor 4.0

Differences From Last Week

Main Difference Side Difference
Counters +0.21 Anti-Artifact +0.13
Creatures -0.02 Counters -0.06
Discard -0.11 Creatures -0.36
Draw -0.32 Discard +0.13
Removal +0.24 Draw ±0
Removal +0.17

The trend towards Removal happens, and like a broken record, it is because Creatures are so good these days.

Looking at these sideboards I worry about two decks: ControlVine and Oath. ControlVine has always been hard for Doomsday since it has a clock and plenty of Counters. I don't think we have many tools to deal with it any better than we currently do. Oath is interesting, and always has been an interesting matchup – but now it is because of all the changes coming to it. Atraxa, Grand Unifier might not be the reason some decks are playing Urza's Saga, Tinker, Show and Tell and more, but it feels like I might see anything out of Oath decks these days.


If you enjoyed this article, consider supporting me on Patreon. Or how about a tip via Paypal? You can even sign up with ManaTraders using my link to give me some bonus credit. Got an Amazon Prime subscription? You can give me a free sub on Twitch!

Best of luck to everyone playing this weekend!
Remember: Always Be Casting Doomsday.
And thanks! I love you.