Vintage Doomsday Deck List Analysis for 2020.11.07-08

2020.11.07 Challenge Decks

2020.11.08 Challenge Decks

2020.11.08 League Deck

2020.11.08 Preliminary Deck

Let's take a look at the core of these seven decks.

Core

Creatures (4)
Street Wraith
Thassa's Oracle

Sorceries (12)
Demonic Tutor
Doomsday
Gitaxian Probe
Ponder
Preordain
Time Walk

Instants (20)
Ancestral Recall
Brainstorm
Dark Ritual
Daze
Demonic Consultation
Dig Through Time
Flusterstorm
Force of Will
Gush
Mental Misstep
Mystical Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Lands (7)
Misty Rainforest
Scalding Tarn
Flooded Strand
Underground Sea

Artifacts (3)
Black Lotus
Mox Jet
Mox Sapphire

Enchantments (1)
Necropotence

Sideboard (4)
Steel Sabotage

The core isn't surprising at this point in the deck's life.

As far as the sideboard goes, it seems Steel Sabotage has become the official four-of for Shops. Other than that, it's up to personal taste.

Now let's take a look at the differences.

2020.11.07 Challenge SingPanMan (19th Place) Differences

Draw (3)
Cling to Dust
Peek
Street Wraith

Interaction (3)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute

Mana (2)
Snow-Covered Island
Island

Fetches (5)
Polluted Delta
Flooded Strand
Watery Grave
Sideboard (11)
Gurmag Angler
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Surgical Extraction
Eliminate
Massacre
Null Rod
Library of Alexandria

2020.11.07 Challenge billster47 (28th Place) Differences

Draw (3)
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise

Interaction (3)
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Force of Negation

Mana (1)
Snow-Covered Island

Fetches (6)
Scalding Tarn
Misty Rainforest
Flooded Strand
Sideboard (11)
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Duress
Feed the Swarm
Leyline of the Void
Surgical Extraction
Snow-Covered Island
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

2020.11.08 Challenge _INF_ (12th Place) Differences

Draw (3)
Street Wraith
Peek
Treasure Cruise

Interaction (3)
Chain of Vapor
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation

Mana (1)
Snow-Covered Island

Fetches (6)
Flooded Strand
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Sideboard (11)
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Mindbreak Trap
Leyline of the Void
Hurkyl's Recall
Snow-Covered Island
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

2020.11.08 Challenge Tiemuuu (24th Place) Differences

Draw (3)
Street Wraith
Treasure Cruise

Interaction (3)
Chain of Vapor
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation

Mana (1)
Island

Fetches (6)
Flooded Strand
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Sideboard (11)
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Duress
Mystical Dispute
Leyline of the Void
Island
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

2020.11.08 Challenge SingPanMan (31st Place) Differences

Draw (3)
Street Wraith
Cling to Dust
Peek

Interaction (3)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute

Mana (3)
Island
Watery Grave
Snow-Covered Island

Fetches (4)
Polluted Delta
Flooded Strand
Sideboard (11)
Gurmag Angler
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Eliminate
Massacre
Surgical Extraction
Null Rod
Library of Alexandria

2020.11.08 League IdraftTheBeatz (5-0) Differences

Draw (3)
Street Wraith
Cling to Dust
Peek

Interaction (3)
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute

Mana (3)
Island
Snow-Covered Island
Watery Grave

Fetches (4)
Misty Rainforest
Scalding Tarn
Sideboard (11)
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Chain of Vapor
Duress
Eliminate
Force of Despair
Null Rod
Library of Alexandria
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

2020.11.08 Preliminary sandydogmtg (3-2) Differences

Draw (2)
Peek
Treasure Cruise

Interaction (3)
Daze
Flusterstorm

Mana (3)
Lotus Petal
Island
Watery Grave

Fetches (5)
Misty Rainforest
Scalding Tarn
Flooded Strand
Polluted Delta
Sideboard (11)
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Fatal Push
Hurkyl's Recall
Mystical Dispute
Island
The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale

Breakdown

We can see almost everyone had 3 Draw, 3 Interaction, and 7 Lands. (sandydogmtg replaced one piece of Draw with a Lotus Petal.)

Mana (39)
Lotus Petal
Island
Snow-Covered Island
12 Flooded Strand
Polluted Delta
Scalding Tarn
Looking closer at the mana, it was generally 2/3 Lands and 5/4 Fetches or 1 Land in the main, 1 in the side and 6 Fetches. sandydogmtg broke the trend again with 2 Lands main and 1 in the sideboard.
Watery Grave has been a recent addition in what seems to be an attempt to squeeze in more Black sources while becoming a bit more resilient to Underground Sea being hit with Surgical Extraction. There does not seem to be a correlation between playing Watery Grave and not playing more Daze.

Draw (20)
Street Wraith
Cling to Dust
Peek
Treasure Cruise

Extra Draw comes in four types. Street Wraith is the most common because it is "free", and while Treasure Cruise won't be cast post-Doomsday, it can be a powerful refill. Cling and Peek both offer a bit of interaction for Bazaar and Xerox decks respectively. Cling can also play well when fighting an opposing Deathrite Shaman or Surgical Extraction, so choosing between these four comes down to meta calls and preference. Street Wraith is worse when there is more Aggro and Treasure Cruise can be clunky when your opponent is playing lots of counterspells.

Interaction (21)
Chain of Vapor
Daze
Duress
Flusterstorm
Force of Negation
Mystical Dispute
This section is where we see the most variety, but it comes down to Discard, Bounce, or Counterspells. The common pattern is all counter or one other piece with two counters. billster47 went with one of each type. With Chalice of the Void restricted, Chain of Vapor becomes more useful. (Although be careful about casting it when you have Necropotence out.)

Sideboard Analysis

Bazaar (30)
10 The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale
Surgical Extraction
12 Leyline of the Void

Shops (6)
Null Rod
Hurkyl's Recall

Discard (9)
Duress

Creatures (8)
Gurmag Angler
Tasigur, the Golden Fang
Extra Lands (7)
Island
Snow-Covered Island
Library of Alexandria

Counters (5)
Mindbreak Trap
Mystical Dispute

Removal (12)
Chain of Vapor
Eliminate
Fatal Push
Feed the Swarm
Force of Despair
Massacre

Gurmag Angler has been showing up here and there instead of Tasigur here and there and I'll be honest that I'm not seeing the advantage, other than potentially in Doomsday mirrors?
I should probably list Null Rod as PO-hate, where it probably shines more than against Shops, but it clearly has its applications against the less aggro Shops builds.
Massacre is a logical response to the increase of Thalia-based Hatebears decks on the rise as of late. Feed the Swarm is interesting for its uses against Oath of Druids and _maybe_ Necropotence as well as the standard variety of creatures, but I'm not sure the life-loss and Sorcery-speed will have it earning its place anytime soon.
None of the rest particularly stands out this week, although Duress does seem to be up a bit more than usual.

Best of luck to everyone playing in this upcoming weekend's events!

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